Friday, June 30, 2006
UK: Independent Scotland? Who Cares!
Would you personally be happy or unhappy if Scotland one day became a fully independent country?
Would be happy
24%
Would be unhappy
25%
Would not be bothered one way or the other
44%
Don’t know
7%
Leaving aside what you wish to happen, what do you expect to happen over the next ten years or so?
Scotland will become fully independent
13%
Scotland will remain part of the United Kingdom
72%
Don’t know
16%
Source: YouGov / Daily Telegraph
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,009 British adults, conducted from Jun. 21 to Jun. 23, 2006. No margin of error was provided.
Nicaragua: Former Dictator Ortega Leads Polls
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Jun. 2006 | Apr. 2006 | |
| Daniel Ortega (FSLN) | 23% | 16% |
| Eduardo Montealegre (ALN) | 17% | 22% |
| Herty Lewites (MRS) | 15% | 18% |
| José Rizo (PLC) | 11% | 13% |
| Other | 3% | 4% |
| None / Undecided | 32% | 28% |
Source: CID-Gallup / La Prensa
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,180 Nicaraguan adults, conducted from Jun. 16 to Jun. 23, 2006. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
Wednesday, June 28, 2006
Belgium: 2 Missing Girls Murdered
"At no moment the hope of a happy ending was abandoned. Unfortunately these hopes are today ruined by the discovery of the deceased, should I say murdered, children."
Iraq: Shiite Shrine Bomber Nabbed
"We managed to capture Abu Qudama al-Tunisi, a Tunisian, recently and he has taken an active part in blowing up the Golden mosque."
Florida: GOP Gov. Primary — Crist 53, Gallagher 31
Tuesday, June 27, 2006
UK: Conservatives Still Leading
How would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow? Which party are you most inclined to support?
| Jun. 12 | May 30 | May 2 | |
| Conservative | 41% | 41% | 36% |
| Labour | 34% | 31% | 32% |
| Liberal Democrats | 18% | 18% | 21% |
| Green Party | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| Scottish National Party / | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| UK Independence Party | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other | 2% | 3% | 3% |
Source: Ipsos-MORI
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,139 certain British voters, conducted from Jun. 8 to Jun. 12, 2006. No margin of error was provided.
Mexico: Obrador 35.8, Calderon 33.5
Which candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 35.8% |
| Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 33.5% |
| Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 25.3% |
Source: Universidad de Guadalajara
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,000 Mexican adults, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 20, 2006. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.
Monday, June 26, 2006
Somalia: Sinking into Satanic Sharia Law
Israel: Mobilizing to Get Back Kidnapped Soldier
Canada: Increase of Support for Troops in Afghanistan
Now that it's warmer, it seems the Canadians are starting to think clearer.
Right now, the Canadian Forces are involved in a broader peace-support operation in Afghanistan, helping to rebuild the country and maintain security with our troops fighting on the frontline if necessary. Would you say you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose these contributions?
Jun. 2006
Apr. 2006
Feb. 2006
Support
65%
62%
70%
Oppose
33%
37%
28%
Not sure
2%
1%
2%
Source: Ekos Research Associates
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,004 Canadian adults, conducted from Jun. 12 to Jun. 20, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
Israel: Will Give Palestinians Ambulances
Sunday, June 25, 2006
4 Polls Show Bush Gaining Ground
a) Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s performance as president?
| Jun. 16 | May 7 | Apr. 23 | |
| Approve | 37% | 34% | 32% |
| Disapprove | 53% | 58% | 60% |
Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,017 American adults, conducted from Jun. 14 and Jun. 15, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
b) Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
| Jun. 2006 | Apr. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | |
| Approve | 36% | 35% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 54% | 55% | 57% |
Source: Princeton Survey Research Associates / Pew Research Center for the People and the Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,501 American adults, conducted from Jun. 14 to Jun. 19, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
c) Overall, how would you rate president George W. Bush’s performance on the job?
| Jun. 20 | Jun. 6 | Mar. 16 | Mar. 2 | |
| Positive | 36% | 31% | 38% | 38% |
| Negative | 64% | 69% | 62% | 62% |
Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,050 likely American voters, conducted from Jun. 15 to Jun. 20, 2006. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
d) Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
| Jun. 2006 | May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | |
| Approve | 36% | 32% | 34% | 37% |
| Disapprove | 57% | 61% | 60% | 57% |
Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,100 American adults, conducted from Jun. 18 to Jun. 21, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
John Hoeven is Top Rated Governor in US
Do you approve or disapprove of your governor’s performance?
| State | Name | Party | Approve | Disapprove |
| North Dakota | Hoeven, John | R | 78% | 15% |
| Nebraska | Heineman, Dave | R | 76% | 19% |
| West Virginia | Manchin, Joe | D | 76% | 20% |
| Utah | Huntsman, Jon | R | 75% | 20% |
| Connecticut | Rell, Jodi | R | 73% | 22% |
| Montana | Schweitzer, Brian | D | 73% | 20% |
| New Hampshire | Lynch, John | D | 72% | 22% |
| Oklahoma | Henry, Brad | D | 67% | 26% |
| Wyoming | Freudenthal, Dave | D | 67% | 27% |
| Kansas | Sebelius, Kathleen | D | 64% | 30% |
| Alabama | Riley, Bob | R | 63% | 33% |
| Georgia | Perdue, Sonny | R | 63% | 31% |
| Hawaii | Lingle, Linda | R | 62% | 33% |
| Tennessee | Bredesen, Phil | D | 62% | 32% |
| New Mexico | Richardson, Bill | D | 61% | 36% |
| South Dakota | Rounds, Mike | R | 61% | 35% |
| Idaho | Kempthorne, Dirk | R | 60% | 33% |
| Florida | Bush, Jeb | R | 59% | 38% |
| Vermont | Douglas, Jim | R | 59% | 37% |
| Arizona | Napolitano, Janet | D | 58% | 38% |
| Nevada | Guinn, Kenny | R | 58% | 33% |
| Pennsylvania | Rendell, Edward | D | 58% | 36% |
| Arkansas | Huckabee, Mike | R | 56% | 39% |
| Mississippi | Barbour, Haley | R | 56% | 41% |
| Iowa | Vilsack, Tom | D | 55% | 40% |
| North Carolina | Easley, Michael | D | 55% | 38% |
| Virginia | Kaine, Tim | D | 55% | 34% |
| South Carolina | Sanford, Mark | R | 54% | 41% |
| Colorado | Owens, Bill | R | 53% | 42% |
| Minnesota | Pawlenty, Tim | R | 51% | 46% |
| Texas | Perry, Rick | R | 51% | 45% |
| Rhode Island | Carcieri, Don | R | 49% | 46% |
| Washington | Gregoire, Christine | D | 45% | 50% |
| Wisconsin | Doyle, Jim | D | 45% | 49% |
| Maryland | Ehrlich, Robert | R | 44% | 51% |
| Illinois | Blagojevich, Rod | D | 43% | 51% |
| Maine | Baldacci, John | D | 43% | 54% |
| Delaware | Minner, Ruth | D | 42% | 53% |
| Michigan | Granholm, Jennifer | D | 42% | 56% |
| Missouri | Blunt, Matt | R | 42% | 53% |
| New Jersey | Corzine, Jon | D | 41% | 52% |
| New York | Pataki, George | R | 41% | 55% |
| Indiana | Daniels, Mitch | R | 40% | 54% |
| California | Schwarzenegger, Arnold | R | 39% | 58% |
| Louisiana | Blanco, Kathleen | D | 39% | 59% |
| Massachusetts | Romney, Mitt | R | 39% | 56% |
| Oregon | Kulongoski, Ted | D | 32% | 59% |
| Kentucky | Fletcher, Ernie | R | 28% | 67% |
| Alaska | Murkowski, Frank | R | 20% | 78% |
| Ohio | Taft, Bob | R | 18% | 79% |
| U.S. Average | | | 53% | 42% |
Source: SurveyUSA
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 adult residents of each of the country’s 50 states, conducted from Jun. 9 to Jun. 11, 2006. Margins of error for each state range from 3.8 to 4.1 per cent.
Saturday, June 24, 2006
Arizona: Senator Kyl Has Comfortable Lead
Republican U.S. Senator Jon Kyl is running for re-election this fall. His opponent is businessman and former Democratic state chairman Jim Pederson. Will you probably vote for:
Jun. 2006
Jon Kyl (R)
43%
Jim Pederson (D)
29%
Don’t know
28%
Source: Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University / KAET-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 384 registered Arizona voters, conducted from Jun. 15 to Jun. 18, 2005. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
Texas: Hutchison 53, Radnofsky 34
Election 2006 - Texas Senate
| Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) | 53% |
| Barbara Ann Radnofsky (D) | 34% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely Texas voters, conducted on May 18, 2006. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Vermont: Douglas 54, Parker 31
Things seem to be going nicely in this race.
Election 2006 - Vermont Governor
Jim Douglas (R)
54%
Scudder Parker (D)
31%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely Vermont voters, conducted on May 9, 2006. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
France: Royal Leads Sarkozy by 1 pt.
If yout thought things were bad enough in France already, wait until a Socialist like Royal gets his claws on that sick country's throat.
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
Jun. 2006
May 2006
Apr. 2006
Ségolène Royal
32%
31%
34%
Nicolas Sarkozy
31%
32%
30%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
13%
10%
10%
François Bayrou
6%
6%
5%
Olivier Besancenot
5%
4.5%
4.5%
Dominique de Villepin
4%
5%
6%
Arlette Laguiller
3%
3.5%
3%
Philippe de Villiers
2%
3%
3%
Marie-George Buffet
2%
3%
3%
Dominique Voynet
2%
2%
1.5%
Source: TNS-Sofres / Le Figaro / LCI
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,005 French adults, conducted on Jun. 14 and Jun. 15, 2006. No margin of error was provided.
Friday, June 23, 2006
Washington: Cantwell Loses More Ground to McGavick
| Jun. 13 | May 8 | Apr. 7 | |
| Maria Cantwell (D) | 44% | 46% | 48% |
| Mike McGavick (R) | 40% | 41% | 40% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely Washington state voters, conducted on Jun. 13, 2006. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Mexico: Calderon Clings to Small Lead
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
| Jun. 2006 | May 2006 | |
| Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 34.5% | 38% |
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 31.3% | 33% |
| Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 27.1% | 25% |
Source: Zogby International / University of Miami School of Communication
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 Mexican adults, conducted from Jun. 10 to Jun. 15, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
Thursday, June 22, 2006
Michigan: DeVos Leads Granholm by 7 pts.
Dick DeVos 48%
Jennifer Granholm 41%
Undecided 11%
UK: Conservatives Lead by 5 pts.
If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party do you think you would vote for?
| Jun. 18 | May 21 | Apr. 23 | |
| Conservative | 37% | 38% | 34% |
| Labour | 32% | 34% | 32% |
| Liberal Democrat | 21% | 20% | 23% |
| Other | 10% | 8% | 10% |
Source: ICM Research / The Guardian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,005 British adults, conducted from Jun. 16 to Jun. 18, 2006. No margin of error was provided.
Australia: John Howard Enjoying Steady Popularity
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way John Howard is doing his job as prime minister?
| Jun. 18 | May 28 | May 14 | |
| Satisfied | 50% | 48% | 49% |
| Dissatisfied | 42% | 42% | 39% |
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Kim Beazley is doing his job as leader of the opposition?
| Jun. 18 | May 28 | May 14 | |
| Satisfied | 32% | 32% | 34% |
| Dissatisfied | 53% | 53% | 52% |
Who do you think would make the better prime minister?
| Jun. 18 | May 28 | May 14 | |
| John Howard (Lib.) | 55% | 55% | 53% |
| Kim Beazley (ALP) | 25% | 23% | 25% |
Source: Newspoll / The Australian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,140 Australian voters, conducted from Jun. 16 to Jun. 18, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Sunday, June 18, 2006
UK: Stupid Mainstream Media
"Fledgling US missile shield largely unproven."
It's amazing that the idiot UK press can figure out that something new is still unproven. What a concept. That's what I call hard-nose reporting.
Texas: Perry Leads Four-For-All by 18 pts.
| Rick Perry (R) | 38% |
| Chris Bell (D) | 14% |
| Carole Keeton Strayhorn | 19% |
| Kinky Freidman | 20% |
Mexico: Calderon Retakes Lead by 2
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
| Jun. 2006 | May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | |
| Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 37% | 42% | 41% |
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 35% | 31% | 31% |
| Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 24% | 26% | 25% |
Source: GEA-ISA
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,152 Mexican adults, conducted from Jun. 9 to Jun. 11, 2006. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Thursday, June 15, 2006
Pennsylvania: Santorum Cuts Casey Lead to Single Digits
Rick Santorum 40%
Other 1%
Undecided 10%
Wisconsin: Green Pulls Ahead of Doyle
If the election for Governor was held today, and the choice was between Jim Doyle, the Democrat and Mark Green, the Republican, whom would you vote for?
| Jun. 4 | Apr. 30 | Apr. 9 | |
| Mark Green (R) | 46% | 43% | 43% |
| Jim Doyle (D) | 45% | 45% | 43% |
| Undecided | 9% | 12% | 14% |
Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely Wisconsin voters, conducted from Jun. 2 to Jun. 4, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Mexico: Obrador Retakes Lead
If the presidential election took place today, who would you vote for?
(Likely Voters)
| Jun. 11 | May 21 | Apr. 30 | |
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 37% | 35% | 33% |
| Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 35% | 39% | 40% |
| Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 23% | 22% | 22% |
| Patricia Mercado (PASC) | 3% | 2.3% | 3.7% |
| Roberto Campa (PNA) | 1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Source: Reforma
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,100 likely Mexican voters, conducted from Jun. 9 to Jun. 11, 2006. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.
Sunday, June 11, 2006
Connecticut: Rell Cruising, Lieberman Slipping
Ukraine: Ethnic Russians Interfere With Pro-NATO Exercise
Bush's Approval up by 5 pts.
Do you approve or disapprove of how George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
| Jun. 4 | May 7 | Apr. 30 | Apr. 9 | |
| Approve | 36% | 31% | 34% | 37% |
| Disapprove | 57% | 65% | 63% | 60% |
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,002 American adults, conducted from Jun. 1 to Jun. 4, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
UK: Conservatives Lead by 10 pts.
How would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow? Which party are you most inclined to support?
| May 30 | May 2 | Apr. 22 | |
| Conservative | 41% | 36% | 30% |
| Labour | 31% | 32% | 30% |
| Liberal Democrats | 18% | 21% | 25% |
| Green Party | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Scottish National Party / | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| UK Independence Party | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 2% |
Source: Ipsos-MORI
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,151 certain British voters, conducted from May 25 to May 30, 2006. No margin of error was provided.
Friday, June 9, 2006
Giuliani is America's Favorite Politician
Polling Data
I’d like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I’ll read the name of a person and I’d like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favourable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favourable. If we come to a person who you haven’t heard enough about to form an opinion, you don’t need to rate the person. Just tell me and we’ll move on to the next one.
| Mean Rating | Unknown to | |
| Rudy Giuliani | 63.5 | 13% |
| Barack Obama | 58.4 | 55% |
| Condoleezza Rice | 56.1 | 9% |
| John McCain | 56.0 | 17% |
| Hillary Rodham Clinton | 49.9 | 2% |
| John Edwards | 49.4 | 21% |
| Joseph Biden | 48.8 | 55% |
| Evan Bayh | 47.9 | 74% |
| Mitt Romney | 47.5 | 67% |
| Mark Warner | 47.1 | 72% |
| George Allen | 46.8 | 72% |
| Al Gore | 45.7 | 3% |
| Chris Dodd | 45.3 | 64% |
| John Kerry | 45.2 | 6% |
| Russ Feingold | 45.1 | 62% |
| George W. Bush | 42.9 | -- |
| Bill Frist | 41.8 | 51% |
| Donald Rumsfeld | 41.5 | 12% |
| Dick Cheney | 40.5 | 5% |
Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,534 registered American voters, conducted from May 23 to May 30, 2006. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.
Tuesday, June 6, 2006
Mexico: Calderon Leads by 11 pts.
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
| May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | |
| Felipe Calderón (PAN) | 42% | 41% | 36% |
| Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD) | 31% | 31% | 34% |
| Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 26% | 25% | 28% |
Source: GEA-ISA
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,440 Mexican adults, conducted from May 25 to May 28, 2006. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Thursday, June 1, 2006
Chavez Losing Popularity in Latin America
California: Dem Governor Candidates at Each Other's Throats
Netherlands: Still Against EU Constitution
If a new referendum on the European Constitution took place this week, how would you vote?
| In favor | 32% |
| Against | 68% |
Source: Maurice de Hond / NOS
Methodology: Interviews with 2,200 Dutch adults, conducted on May 24, 2006. No margin of error was provided.