Obama, Socialists: Right Where McCain Wants Them

Yesterday's Gallup shocker (a 2 point gap in the "likely voter" model) is going to have a follow up today if Drudge is right: A Rasmussen poll narrowing the gap to 3 points. Now we know why John McCain and Sarah Palin were both in PA yesterday. The election is tightening across the map as those of us who remember 1976 have been predicting all along. Barack Obama represents a much more radical alternative than Jimmy Carter did in '76, and Carter's unusual profile sent voters by the millions towards Gerald Ford in the closing days. The same thing is happening this year as the very well known and very reliable John McCain enters his last big comeback within striking distance and very much on target.
Hugh Hewitt

Rasmussen: Obama Lead in Pennsylvania Plummets to 7

Pennsylvania Trends: McCain vs. Obama
Date	McCain	Obama
10/27/2008	46%	53%
10/06/2008	41%	54%
09/28/2008	42%	50%

Taking into account Rasmussen's oversampling of Democrats and a Bradley effect of 2 or 3 points, this race is now tied.

Wisconsin: Obama Lead Falls to 7 pts

This is pretty good news considering Rasmussen's "optimistic" oversampling of Democrats. I would say that Obama is leading by about 2 points in the state of Wisconsin right now, with over a week for McCain to close this gap. McCain does not need Wisconsin, but it would be nice insurance in case another state does worse than expected for him.

Wisconsin Trends: McCain vs. Obama
Date	McCain	Obama
10/23/2008	44%	51%
10/06/2008	44%	54%

New Hampshire: Obama Lead Plummets to 4 Points!

New Hampshire Trends: McCain vs. Obama
Date	McCain	Obama
10/23/2008	46%	50%
10/01/2008	43%	53%

Rasmussen Reports

Ohio: McCain Leads Professional Polls, Obama Leads College Polls

Ohio:

3 college polls
Quinnipiac Obama +14
Big 10 Battleground Obama +12
Suffolk Obama +9

3 professional polls
Rasmussen McCain +2
CNN Obama +4
Mason Dixon McCain +1

Kind of speaks for itself.