Mexico: Caldern Holding on by 4 pts.

If the presidential election took place today, who would you vote for?
(Likely Voters)

	May 21	Apr. 30	Apr. 22
Felipe Calderón (PAN)	39%	40%	38%
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD)	35%	33%	35%
Roberto Madrazo (PRI)	22%	22%	23%
Patricia Mercado (PASC)	2.3%	3.7%	2.6%
Roberto Campa (PNA)	1.2%	0.7%	0.6%

If the election to the federal Chamber of Deputies took place today, what party would you vote for?

	May 21	Apr. 30	Apr. 22
National Action Party (PAN)	39%	39%	40%
Alliance for the Common Good Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) Workers Party (PT) Convergence for Democracy (CD)	29%	30%	29%
Alliance for Mexico Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM)	27%	26%	27%
Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC)	2.7%	2.9%	2.5%
New Alliance Party (PNA)	2.2%	2.2%	1.7%

Source: Reforma
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,099 likely Mexican voters, conducted from May 19 to May 21 2006. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.