Canadian Debate: Anglos Think Harper Won, Froggies Think Dion Won

If you had to pick only one leader, who do you think won the debate?

	English	French
Stephen Harper - Con.	34%	10%
Jack Layton - NDP	19%	15%
Stéphane Dion - Lib.	14%	32%
Elizabeth May - Grn.	13%	2%
Giles Duceppe - BQ	1%	27%
None of them	21%	14%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies / Toronto Star
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,635 Canadian adults who saw the English language debate on Oct. 2, and 429 Canadian adults who saw the French language debate on Oct. 1. The interviews for respondents who watched the English-language debate were collected AFTER the entire English-language debate was over. The interviews for respondents who watched the French-language debate were collected AFTER the entire French-language debate was over. Margin of error for the total sample of debate watchers is 2.2 per cent.

Canada: Harper 41, Dion 17

Which of these two leaders would make the best prime minister of Canada?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Stephen Harper	41%	35%
Stephane Dion	17%	19%
Neither	32%	30%
Not sure	11%	16%

Do you approve or disapprove of Stephen Harper’s performance as prime minister?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Approve	40%	37%
Disapprove	39%	41%
Not sure	21%	22%

Do you approve or disapprove of Stéphane Dion’s performance as leader of the opposition?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Approve	18%	19%
Disapprove	44%	39%
Not sure	37%	42%

Over the course of the past month, would you say your opinion of Stephen Harper has improved, stayed the same or worsened?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Improved	25%	21%
Stayed the same	49%	50%
Worsened	22%	22%
Not sure	4%	7%

Over the course of the past month, would you say your opinion of Stéphane Dion has improved, stayed the same or worsened?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Improved	11%	9%
Stayed the same	47%	43%
Worsened	30%	29%
Not sure	12%	19%

Overall, do you think Canada is headed in the right track, or the wrong track?

	Mar. 28	Mar. 7
Right track	36%	43%
Wrong track	38%	35%
Not sure	26%	23%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,056 Canadian adults, conducted from Mar. 20 to Mar. 28, 2007. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.

Canada: Conservatives Lead by 10

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you vote for?

	Mar. 7	Feb. 27
The Conservative Party, led by Stephen Harper	38%	40%
The Liberal Party, led by Stéphane Dion	28%	26%
The New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Jack Layton	15%	15%
The Bloc Quebecois, led by Gilles Duceppe	11%	10%
The Green Party, led by Elizabeth May	7%	8%
Or, some other party	1%	1%

Provincial Breakdown

	BC	Alta.	Sask. / Man.	Ont.	Que.	Atl.
The Conservative Party, led by Stephen Harper	37%	62%	45%	41%	25%	34%
The Liberal Party, led by Stéphane Dion	19%	18%	21%	36%	24%	38%
The New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Jack Layton	32%	3%	20%	15%	9%	24%
The Bloc Quebecois, led by Gilles Duceppe	--	--	--	--	37%	--
The Green Party, led by Elizabeth May	12%	15%	13%	7%	4%	2%
Or, some other party	1%	2%	1%	--	2%	1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,059 Canadian adults, conducted on Mar. 6 and Mar. 7, 2007. Margin of error is 3.0 per cent.