Notice the large 18 percent undecided vote and remember that the undecided usually break against the incumbent. This means Obama would probably lose the 2012 election by more than he won the 2008 election.
Image via Wikipedia
Showing posts with label Gallup. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gallup. Show all posts
Friday, June 17, 2011
Goodbye Socialist: Obama Losing to Generic Republican by 5 pts
Notice the large 18 percent undecided vote and remember that the undecided usually break against the incumbent. This means Obama would probably lose the 2012 election by more than he won the 2008 election.
Image via Wikipedia
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Gallup: Huge Enthusiasm Gap Favors GOP
The president is certainly reading the tea leaves accurately here. Our latest measure for the week of Sept. 20-26 shows Republicans with a 20-percentage-point lead over Democrats in terms of the percentage of voters who are “very” enthusiastic about voting. Additionally, preliminary modeling of the likely electorate using Gallup’s traditional likely voter questions (more on this next week) suggests that if current patterns persist, Republicans could have a double-digit lead in the national House vote on Election Day, which would translate into Republicans gaining well above the number of seats necessary to control the House.
Gallup
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