California: McNerney has Slight Lead Over Harmer

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Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney inched his way toward re-election as updated counts Friday showed him with a slim 548-vote lead over opponent and GOP nominee David Harmer.

But the outcome is still a long way from settled.

The gap represents a tiny 0.3 percentage points of the 176,108 votes counted in the 11th Congressional District, which remains one of nine House races nationwide still too close to call. The four county elections offices within the 11th District are plowing through the uncounted mail-in and provisional ballots but thousands of votes remain to be processed.

Mercury News

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• CA-11: Harmer implies vote fraud by McNerney (dailykos.com)
• Dem Jerry McNerney up 121 votes to GOP's David Harmer in East Bay (sfgate.com)
• CALIFORNIA CONGRESSIONAL NAIL BITERS: Late Votes keeps California Rep. Jerry McNerney in lead; Has Republican Jim Vidak unseated Democrat Rep. Jim Costa in CA CD 20? (economy4abc.blogspot.com)
• Rep. Tim Bishop joins other House Dems waiting for final results (dailykos.com)
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• Jerry McNerney for District 11 - endorsement (sfgate.com)
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• A Battered Landscape For a 2-Term Democrat (nytimes.com)

FINAL ELECTION PREDICTION: GOP Gains 9 in Senate; 88 in House; 7 Governors

MOCK ELECTION

SENATE (Republicans +9. 50-50 split, Democrats retain control)

Arkansas: John Boozman defeats Blanche Lincoln by 23 pts (PICKUP)

California: Barbara Boxer defeats Carly Fiorina by 3 pts (HOLD)
Connecticut: Richard Blumenthal defeats Linda McMahon by 2 pts (HOLD)

Colorado: Ken Buck defeats Michael Bennet by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Delaware: Chris Coons defeats Christine O'Donnell by 3 pts (HOLD)

Florida: Marco Rubio defeats Charlie Crist by 12 pts (HOLD)
Georgia: Johnny Isakson defeats Michael Thurmond by 29 pts (HOLD)
Illinois: Mark Kirk defeats Alexi Giannoulias by 3 pts (PICKUP)

Indiana: Dan Coats defeats Brad Ellsworth by 22 pts (PICKUP)

Kentucky: Rand Paul defeats Jack Conway by 11 pts (HOLD)
Louisiana: David Vitter defeats Charles Melancon by 22 pts (HOLD) 
Maryland: Barbara Mikulski defeats Eric Wargotz by 18 pts (HOLD)
Missouri: Roy Blunt defeats Robin Carnahan by 10 pts (HOLD)

Nevada: Sharron Angle defeats Harry Reid by 7 pts (PICKUP)

New York: Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Joe Dio Guardi by 11 pts (HOLD)

New York: Chuck Schumer defeats Jay Townsend by 24 pts (HOLD)
North Dakota: John Hoeven defeats Tracy Potter by 50 pts (PICKUP)
Ohio: Rob Portman defeats Lee Fisher by 22 pts (HOLD)
Pennsylvania: Pat Toomey defeats Joe Sestak by 14 pts (PICKUP)
South Carolina: Jim DeMint defeats Alvin Greene by 39 pts (HOLD)
Vermont: Patrick Leahy defeatS Len Britton by 24 pts (HOLD)
Washington: Dino Rossi defeats Patty Murray by 3 pts (PICKUP)
West Virginia: Joe Manchin defeats John Raese by 2 pts (HOLD)
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson defeats Russ Feingold by 9 pts (PICKUP)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Alabama (Republicans +1)

Alabama 2nd: Martha Roby defeats Bobby Bright by 12 pts (PICKUP)

Alaska (No Change)

Arizona (Republicans +4)

Arizona 1st: Paul Gosar defeats Ann Kirkpatrick by 12 pts (PICKUP)

Arizona 3rd: Ben Quayle defeats John Hulburd by 6 pts (HOLD)

David Schweikert defeats Harry Mitchell by 13 pts (PICKUP)

Ruth McClung defeats Raul Grijalva by 2 pts (PICKUP)

Jesse Kelly defeats Gabrielle Giffords by 7 pts (PICKUP)

Arkansas (Republicans +2)

Arkansas 1st: Rick Crawford defeats Chad Causey by 12 pts (PICKUP)

Arkansas 2nd: Tim Griffin defeats Joyce Elliott by 24 pts (PICKUP)

California (Republicans +5)
California 3rd: Dan Lundgren defeats Ami Bera by 24 pts (HOLD)

California 11th: David Harmer defeats Jerry McNerney by 12 pts (PICKUP)

California 18th: Mike Berryhill defeats Dennis Cardoza by 3 pts (PICKUP)

California 20th: Andy Vidak defeats Jim Costa by 11 pts (PICKUP)

California 47th: Van Tran defeats Loretta Sanchez by 4 pts (PICKUP)

California 51st: Nick Popaditch defeats Bob Filner by 5 pts (PICKUP)

Colorado (Republicans +3)

Colorado 3rd: Scott Tipton defeats John Salazar by 14 pts (PICKUP)

Colorado 4th: Cory Gardner defeats Betsy Markey by 11 pts (PICKUP)

Colorado 7th: Ryan Frazier defeats Ed Perlmutter by 2 pts (PICKUP)



Connecticut (Republicans + 2)
Connecticut 4th: Dan Debicella defeats Jim Himes by 2 pts (PICKUP)
Connecticut 5th: Sam Caligiuri defeats Chris Murphy by 6 pts (PICKUP) 

Delaware (Democrats +1)

Delaware AL (At Large): John Carney defeats Glen Urquhart by 6 pts (PICKUP) 

Florida (Republicans +4)

Florida 2nd: Steve Southerland defeats Allen Boyd by 15 pts (PICKUP)

Florida 8th: Daniel Webster defeats Alan Grayson by 18 pts (PICKUP)

Florida 22nd: Allen West defeats Ron Klein by 5 pts (PICKUP)

Florida 24th: Sandy Adams defeats Suzanne Kosmas by 11 pts (PICKUP)

Florida 25th: David Rivera defeats Joe Garcia by 6 pts (HOLD)


Georgia (Republicans +2)
Georgia 2nd: Mike Keown defeats Sanford Bishop by 8 pts (PICKUP) 
Georgia 8th: Austin Scott defeats Jim Marshall by 21 pts (PICKUP)
Georgia 12th: John Barrow defeats Raymond McKinney by 7 pts (HOLD)


Hawaii (Democrats +1)
Hawaii 1st: Colleen Hanabusa defeats Charles Djou by 2 pts (PICKUP) 

Idaho (Republicans +1)
Raul Labrador defeats Walt Minnick by 5 pts (PICKUP) 

Illinois (Republicans +4)

Illinois 8th: Joe Walsh defeats Melissa Bean by 7 pts (PICKUP) 

Illinois 10th: Bob Dold defeats Dan Seals by 9 pts (HOLD)

Illinois 11th: Adam Kinzinger defeats Debbie Halvorson by 23 pts (PICKUP) 
Illinois 14th: Randy Hultgren defeats Bill Foster by 11 pts (PICKUP) 
Illinois 17th: Bobby Schilling defeats Phil Hare by 15 pts (PICKUP) 

Indiana (Republicans +3)
Indiana 1st: Jackie Walorski defeats Joe Donnelly by 3 pt (PICKUP) 
Indiana 8th: Larry Bucshon defeats Trent Van Haaften by 20 pts (PICKUP)
Indiana 9th: Todd Young defeats Baron Hill by 8 pts (PICKUP)

Iowa (No Change)

Iowa 1st: Bruce Braley defeats Ben Lange by 7 pts (HOLD)

Iowa 2nd: Dave Loebsack defeats Marianette Miller-Meeks by 2 pts (HOLD) 

Iowa 3rd: Leonard Boswell defeats Brad Zaun by 8 pts (HOLD)


Kansas  (Republicans +1)

Kansas 1st: Kevin Yoder defeats Stephene Moore by 14 pts (PICKUP) 

Kentucky (Republicans +2)

Kentucky 3rd: Todd Lally defeats John Yarmuth by 4 pts (PICKUP)

Kentucky 6th: Andy Barr defeats Ben Chandler by 7 pt (PICKUP)

Louisiana (No Change)
Louisiana 2nd: Cedric Richmond defeats Joseph Cao by 15 pts (PICKUP) 
Louisiana 3rd: Jeff Landry defeats Ravi Sangisetty by 28 pts (PICKUP) 

Massachusetts (No Change)

Massachusetts 4th: Barney Frank defeats Sean Bielat by 15 pts (HOLD)

Massachusetts 10th: Bill Keating defeats Jeff Perry by 6 pts (HOLD)


Maine (Republicans +2)

Maine 1st: Dean Scontras defeats Chellie Pingree by 3 pts (PICKUP)

Maine 2nd: Jason Levesque defeats Mike Michaud by 2 pts (PICKUP)


Maryland (Republicans +1)
Maryland 1st: Andy Harris defeats Frank Kratovil by 7 pts (PICKUP) 

Michigan  (Republicans +3)
Michigan 1st: Dan Benishek defeats Gary McDowell by 9 pts (PICKUP) 
Michigan 7th: Tim Walberg defeats Mark Schauer by 1 pt (PICKUP) 
Michigan 9th: Rocky Raczkowski defeats Gary Peters by 2 pts (PICKUP)


Minnesota (Republicans +1)

Minnesota 1st: Tim Walz defeats Randy Demmer by 2 pts (HOLD)

Minnesota 6th: Michele Bachmann defeats Tarryl Clark by 18 pts (HOLD)

Minnesota 7th: Collin Peterson defeats Lee Byberg by 9 pts (HOLD)
Minnesota 8th: Chip Cravaack defeats Jim Oberstar by 3 pts (PICKUP) 

Mississippi (Republicans +2)
Mississippi 1st: Alan Nunnelee defeats Travis Childers by 17 pts (PICKUP) 
Mississippi 4th: Steve Palazzo defeats Gene Taylor by 9 pts (PICKUP)


Missouri (Republicans +1)
Missouri 4th: Vicky Hartzler defeats Ike Skelton by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Montana (No Change)

Nebraska (No Change) 

Nevada (Republicans +1)
Nevada 3rd: Joe Heck defeats Dina Titus by 13 pts (PICKUP) 

New Hampshire (Republicans +2)

New Hampshire 1st: Frank Guinta defeats Carol Shea-Porter by 9 pts (PICKUP)

New Hampshire 2nd: Charlie Bass defeats Ann Kuster by 3pts (PICKUP)

New Jersey (Republicans +2)

New Jersey 3rd: Jon Runyan defeats John Adler by 11 pts (PICKUP) 

New Jersey 6th: Frank Pallone defeats Anna Little by 2 pts (HOLD)

New Jersey 12th: Scott Sipprelle defeats Rush Holt by 3 pts (PICKUP) 

New Mexico (Republicans +2)

New Mexico 1st: Jon Barela defeats Martin Heinrich by 4 pts (PICKUP)

New Mexico 2nd: Steve Pearce defeats Harry Teague by 9 pts (PICKUP)

New York (Republicans +6)

New York 1st: Randy Altschuler defeats Tim Bishop by 3 pts (PICKUP)
New York 2nd: Steve Israel defeats John Gomez by 3 pts (HOLD)

New York 4th: Carolyn McCarthy defeats Fran Becker by 3 pts (HOLD)

New York 19th: Nan Hayworth defeats John Hall by 5 pts (PICKUP) 
New York 20th: Chris Gibson defeats Scott Murphy by 12 pts (PICKUP)

New York 22nd: Maurice Hinchey defeats George Phillips by 5 pts (HOLD)

New York 23rd: Matt Doheny defeats Bill Owens by 7 pts (PICKUP)
New York 24th: Richard Hanna defeats Michael Arcuri by 2 pts (PICKUP)
New York 25th: Dan Maffei defeats Ann Marie Buerkle by 5 pts (HOLD)
New York 27th: Brian Higgins defeats Leonard Roberto by 17 pts (HOLD) 
New York 29th: Tom Reed defeats Matt Zeller by 22 pts (PICKUP)

North Carolina (Republicans + 5)
North Carolina 2nd: Renee Elmers defeats Bob Etheridge by 10 pts (PICKUP) 
North Carolina 4th: William Lawson defeats David Price by 2 pts (PICKUP)
North Carolina 7th: Ilario Pantano defeats Mike McIntyre by 12 pts (PICKUP)
North Carolina 8th: Harold Johnson defeats Larry Kissell by 15 pts (PICKUP)
North Carolina 11th: Jeff Miller defeats Heath Shuler by 8 pts (PICKUP)


North Dakota (Republicans +1)

North Dakota At Large: Rick Berg defeats Earl Pomeroy by 12 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio (Republicans +5)

Ohio 1st: Steve Chabot defeats Steve Driehaus by 11 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio 6th: Bill Johnson defeats Charlie Wilson by 9 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio 13th: Tom Ganley defeats Betty Sutton by 4 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio 15th: Steve Stivers defeats Mary Jo Kilroy by 12 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio 16th: Jim Renacci defeats John Boccieri by 8 pts (PICKUP)

Ohio 18th: Bob Gibbs defeat Zack Space by 3 pts (PICKUP)


Oklahoma (No Change)


Oregon (Republicans +1)
Oregon 5th: Scott Bruun defeats Kurt Schrader by 4 pts (PICKUP) 

Pennsylvania (Republicans +6) 
Pennsylvania 3rd: Mike Kelly defeats Kathy Dahlkemper by 14 pts (PICKUP) 
Pennsylvania 4th: Jason Altmire defeats Keith Rothfus by 4 pts (HOLD)
Pennyslvania 6th: Jim Gerlach defeats Manan Trivedi by 21 pts (HOLD) 
Pennyslvania 7th: Patrick Meehan defeats Bryan Lentz by 3 pts (PICKUP) 
Pennyslvania 8th: Michael Fitzpatrick defeats Patrick Murphy by 7 pts (PICKUP) 
Pennsylvania 10th: Tom Marino defeats Chris Carney by 12 pts (PICKUP)
Pennsylvania 11th: Lou Barletta defeats Paul Kanjorski by 4 pts (PICKUP)
Pennyslvania 12th: Tim Burns defeats Mark Kritz by 2 pts (PICKUP) 

Pennsylvania 13th: Allyson Schwartz defeats Dee Adcock by 11 pts (HOLD)

Pennsylvania 15th: Charlie Dent defeats John Calahan by 17 pts (HOLD)

Rhode Island (Republicans +1)
Rhode Island 1st: John Loughlin defeats David Cicilline by 4 pts (PICKUP) 

South Carolina (Republicans +1)

South Carolina 5th: Mick Mulvaney defeats John Spratt by 14 pts (PICKUP) 

South Dakota (Republicans +1)
South Dakota At Large: Kristi Noem defeats Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin by 8 pts (PICKUP)

Tennessee (Republicans +3)

Tennessee 4th: Scott DesJarlais defeats Lincoln Davis by 5 pts (PICKUP)

Tennesse 5th: Jim Cooper defeats David Hall by 6 pts (HOLD)

Tennesse 6th: Diane Black defeats Brett Carter by 22 pts (PICKUP)

Tennessee 8th: Stephen Fincher defeats Roy Herron by 15 pts (PICKUP)

Texas (Republicans +2)

Texas 17th: Bill Flores Defeats Chet Edwards by 16 pts (PICKUP) 

Texas 23rd: Francisco Canseco defeats Ciro Rodriguez by 11 pts (PICKUP)


Utah (No Change)

Utah 2nd: Jim Matheson defeats Morgan Philpot by 3 pts (HOLD)

Vermont (No Change)


Virginia (Republicans +3)
Virginia 2nd: Scott Rigell defeats Glenn Nye by 9 pts (PICKUP)
Virginia 5th: Robert Hurt defeats Tom Perriello by 16 pts (PICKUP)
Virginia 9th: Morgan Griffith defeats Rick Boucher by 8 pts (PICKUP) 
Virginia 11th: Gerry Connolly defeats Keith Fimian by 3 pts (HOLD)


Washington (Republicans +2)

Washington 3rd: Jaime Herrera defeats Denny Heck by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Washington 9th: Dick Muri defeats Adam Smith by 1 pt (PICKUP)

West Virginia (Republicans +1)
West Virginia 1st: David McKinley defeats Mike Oliverio by 7 pts (PICKUP)

West Virginia 3rd: Nick Rahall defeats Spike Maynard by 8 pts (HOLD)

Wisconsin (Republicans +3)
Wisconsin 3rd: Dan Kapanke defeats Ron Kind by 3 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin 7th: Sean Duffy defeats Julie Lassa by 15 pts (PICKUP) 
Wisconsin 8th: Reid Ribble defeats Steve Kagen by 10 pts (PICKUP)

Wyoming (No Change)

GOVERNORS (Republicans +7)

Alaska: Sean Parnell defeats Ethan Berkowitz by 21 pts (HOLD)

Arizona: Jan Brewer defeats Terry Goddard by 16 pts (HOLD)

California: Jerry Brown defeats Meg Whitman by 3 pts (PICKUP)

Colorado: Tom Tancredo defeats John Hickenlooper by 2 pts (PICKUP)
Connecticut: Tom Foley defeats Dan Malloy by 2 pts (HOLD)
Florida: Rick Scott defeats Alex Sink by 3 pts (HOLD)
Georgia: Nathan Deal defeats Roy Barnes by 12 pts (HOLD)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie defeats Duke Aiona by 4 pts (PICKUP)
Illinois: Bill Brady defeats Patt Quinn by 10 pts (PICKUP) 
Iowa: Terry Branstad defeats Chet Culver by 17 pts (PICKUP)
Maryland: Martin O'Malley defeats Bob Ehrlich by 8 pts (HOLD)
Maine: Paul LePage defeats Libby Mitchell by 18 pts (PICKUP)
Massachusetts: Charles Baker defeats Deval Patrick by 3 pts (PICKUP) 
Michigan: Vic Snyder defeats Virg Bernero by 22 pts (PICKUP)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton defeats Tom Emmer by 3 pts (PICKUP)
New Mexico: Susanna Martinez defeats Diane Denish by 13 pts (PICKUP)
Ohio: John Kasich defeats Ted Strickland by 6 pts (PICKUP) 
Oregon: Chris Dudley defeats John Kitzhaber by 2 pts (PICKUP) 
Rhode Island: Lincoln Chafee defeats Frank Caprio by 9 pts (Counting as PICKUP for Democrats)
Pennyslvania: Tom Corbett defeats Dan Onorato by 7 pts (PICKUP)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley defeats Vincent Sheheen by 14 pts (HOLD)

Tennessee: Bill Haslam defeats Mike McWerther by 25 pts (PICKUP)
Texas: Rick Perry defeats Bill White by 12 pts (HOLD)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin defeats Brian Dubie by 5 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker defeats Tom Barrett by 11 pts (PICKUP)

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