Massachusetts: Scott Brown Likely to be Re-Elected

Scott Brown via Wikipedia

National Journal:
Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., leads Democrat Elizabeth Warren by a 53-28 percent margin among likely 2012 voters, according to a poll conducted for the senator and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
Matched against Warren, who was passed over for the top job at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau in the face of GOP resistance and is considering a Senate run, Brown leads by a 25-point margin, with 18 percent undecided. He leads Newton Mayor Setti Warren, 57-21, and City Year co-founder Alan Khazei, 54-24.

Related articles

• Elizabeth Warren to 'think' about Senate run against GOP's Scott Brown (thehill.com)
• Poll: Brown popularity remains high (boston.com)
• Senator Scott Brown: Obama's Failed Joke & My Book Advance (wzlx.radio.com)
• Speculation mounts that Warren may run for Senate (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• Did Elizabeth Warren have to go? (politico.com)

GOP Renaissance in the Northeast

After all the gleeful boasts by the media about the death of the Republicans in the Northeast, we now see things are about to change. Real Clear Politics 2010 Governor, House and Senate maps reveals the following Democrats who are in trouble:

Connecticut:
District 4 and 5 is in trouble.
 
Delaware:  
Mike Castle likely to pick up Senate seat.


Maryland:
District 1 likely GOP pick up.

Massachusetts: 
District 10 is a toss-up.
And we already know about Scott Brown.


New Hampshire:
Both House seats are leaning toward the GOP.
GOP likely to keep Senate seat.

New Jersey:
District 3's Adler in trouble.
Chris Christie now Governor.
Also, the GOP did unusually well in last November's election at the local level for two years in a row.

New York: 
District 29 a likely GOP pick up.
Districts 1, 13, 19, 23, 24 are toss-ups.
District 20, 25 in trouble.
Senator Gillibrand in trouble.

Pennsylvania: 
District 7 and 12 are leaning toward the GOP.
Districts 8, 11, 17 are toss-ups.
Districts 3, 4 and 10 only lean toward the Democrats.
GOP likely to pick up the governorship.
Last November's statewide judicial elections.

Scott Brown's Win Helped by Union Member Revolt

Republican Scott Brown's victory in the Massachusetts Senate race was lifted by strong support from union households, in a sign of trouble for President Barack Obama and Democrats who are counting on union support in the 2010 midterm elections.
A poll conducted on behalf of the AFL-CIO found that 49% of Massachusetts union households supported Mr. Brown in Tuesday's voting, while 46% supported Democrat Martha Coakley. The poll conducted by Hart Research Associates surveyed 810 voters.
The finding, disclosed during an AFL-CIO conference call about the poll, represents a fresh problem for Democrats, who count on union leaders and union members as a pillar of the party's base.

Wall Street Journal

Related articles

• Crisis for Obama as Republicans take Massachusetts (newstatesman.com)
• GOP Senate Candidate in Mass. Rejects Obama's Bank Tax (blogs.wsj.com)
• Election shocker throws US health reform into question (canadianmedicinenews.com)

Massachusetts Senate Prediction

People's Seat beats Too Good To Shake Hands by 5.