Tuesday, May 1, 2007
Tuesday, April 17, 2007
France: Sarkozy Leads by 3; Bayrou Regains Strength
Among the following candidates, who are you most likely to vote for in the first round of the presidential election?
| Apr. 12 | Apr. 11 | Apr. 5 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 26% | 27% | 26% |
| Ségolène Royal | 23% | 25% | 23.5% |
| François Bayrou | 21% | 19% | 21% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 15% | 15% | 16% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 4% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2.5% | 2% | 2% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| José Bové | 1.5% | 2% | 1.5% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 1% | 1% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Apr. 12 | Apr. 11 | Apr. 5 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 51% | 52% | 52% |
| Ségolène Royal | 49% | 48% | 48% |
Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 918 French adults, conducted on Apr. 11 and Apr. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Monday, April 16, 2007
France: Sarkozy Leads by 4.5
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Apr. 14 | Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 29.5% | 29.5% | 30% |
| Ségolène Royal | 25% | 24.5% | 24% |
| François Bayrou | 17.5% | 17.5% | 18.5% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 13.5% | 14% | 13.5% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 3% | 2.5% | 2% |
| José Bové | 2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 1.5% | 2% | 2% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenarios
Sarkozy v. Royal
| Apr. 14 | Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 53% | 53.5% | 54% |
| Ségolène Royal | 47% | 46.5% | 46% |
Sarkozy v. Bayrou
| Apr. 14 | Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | |
| François Bayrou | 53.5% | 53% | 53% |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 46.5% | 47% | 47% |
Source: Ipsos / SFR / Le Point
Methodology: Interviews with 1,355 French adults, conducted from Apr. 12 to Apr. 14, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Sunday, April 15, 2007
France: Sarkozy Leads by 5 pts.
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | Apr. 10 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 29.5% | 30% | 30% |
| Ségolène Royal | 24.5% | 24% | 23.5% |
| François Bayrou | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 14% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2.5% | 2% | 1.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 2% | 2% | 1.5% |
| José Bové | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenarios
Sarkozy v. Royal
| Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | Apr. 10 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 53.5% | 54% | 53.5% |
| Ségolène Royal | 46.5% | 46% | 46.5% |
Sarkozy v. Bayrou
| Apr. 13 | Apr. 12 | Apr. 10 | |
| François Bayrou | 53% | 53% | 53.5% |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 47% | 47% | 46.5% |
Source: Ipsos / SFR / Le Point
Methodology: Interviews with 1,279 French adults, conducted from Apr. 11 to Apr. 13, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, April 11, 2007
France: Sarkozy Leads by 4pts.
Which candidate would you support in the first round of the presidential election?
| Apr. 7 | Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 28% | 29% | 27% |
| Ségolène Royal | 24% | 26% | 27% |
| François Bayrou | 18% | 18% | 20% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 15% | 13% | 12% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 4% | 5% | 3% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2.5% | 3% | 2% |
| José Bové | 2% | 2% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 1.5% | 1% | 2.5% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 1% | 1.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | -- | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Apr. 7 | Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 52% | 51% | 51% |
| Ségolène Royal | 48% | 49% | 49% |
Source: Louis-Harris / RMC
Methodology: Interviews with 1,009 French adults, conducted on Apr. 6 and Apr. 7, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
France: Sarkozy by 3
Which candidate would you support in the first round of the presidential election?
| Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | Mar. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 29% | 27% | 29% |
| Ségolène Royal | 26% | 27% | 26% |
| François Bayrou | 18% | 20% | 22% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 13% | 12% | 12.5% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 5% | 3% | 2.5% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| José Bové | 2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 1% | 2.5% | 1% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Gérard Schivardi | -- | 0.5% | -- |
Run-Off Scenario
| Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | Mar. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 51% | 51% | 52% |
| Ségolène Royal | 49% | 49% | 48% |
Source: Louis-Harris / RMC
Methodology: Interviews with 1,003 French adults, conducted on Mar. 30 and Mar. 31, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
France: Sarkozy 31, Royal 24.5, Bayrou 19, Le Pen 13
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | Mar. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 31% | 30% | 29.5% |
| Ségolène Royal | 24.5% | 25.5% | 25% |
| François Bayrou | 19% | 19% | 21% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 13% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 4.5% | 3% | 3.5% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 1.5% | 2% | 2% |
| José Bové | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1% | 1% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 1% | 0.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 1% | 1% | 0.5% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenarios
Sarkozy v. Royal
| Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | Mar. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 53.5% | 53% | 52% |
| Ségolène Royal | 46.5% | 47% | 48% |
Sarkozy v. Bayrou
| Mar. 31 | Mar. 24 | |
| François Bayrou | 52% | 53% |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 48% | 47% |
Source: Ipsos / SFR / Le Point
Methodology: Interviews with 1,341 French adults, conducted from Mar. 29 to Mar. 31, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Monday, April 2, 2007
France: Sarkozy 26, Royal 24.5, Bayrou 19.5, Le Pen 15
Among the following candidates, who are you most likely to vote for in the first round of the presidential election?
| Mar. 29 | Mar. 22 | Mar. 14 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 26% | 26% | 27% |
| Ségolène Royal | 24.5% | 26% | 26% |
| François Bayrou | 19.5% | 21% | 21% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 15% | 13% | 14% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 3% | 3.5% | 2% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| José Bové | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Mar. 29 | Mar. 22 | Mar. 14 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Ségolène Royal | 48% | 50% | 47% |
Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 922 French adults, conducted on Mar. 28 and Mar. 29, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Friday, March 2, 2007
France: Sarkozy up by 7
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Feb. 28 | Feb. 24 | Feb. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 32% | 31% | 33% |
| Ségolène Royal | 25% | 26% | 23% |
| François Bayrou | 18% | 17.5% | 16% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 12.5% | 13% | 13% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 2.5% | 3% | 4% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2% | 2% | 2.5% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2% | 1% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1.5% | 1% | 1% |
| José Bové | 1.5% | 2% | 2% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1% |
| Corinne Lepage | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Feb. 28 | Feb. 24 | Feb. 17 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 53.5% | 53% | 54% |
| Ségolène Royal | 46.5% | 47% | 46% |
Source: Ipsos / SFR / Le Point
Methodology: Interviews with 1,009 French adults, conducted from Feb. 26 to Feb. 28, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Saturday, February 17, 2007
France: Sarkozy up by 6 pts.
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Feb. 12 | Jan. 23 | Dec. 12 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Ségolène Royal | 29% | 27% | 35% |
| François Bayrou | 14% | 13% | 8% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 2% | 7% | 4% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2% | 4% | 3% |
| José Bové | 2% | -- | -- |
| Philippe de Villiers | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Dominique Voynet | 1% | 0.5% | 2% |
| Corinne Lepage | -- | 0.5% | 1% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Feb. 12 | Jan. 23 | Dec. 12 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 53% | 52% | 49% |
| Ségolène Royal | 47% | 48% | 51% |
Source: BVA / Orange
Methodology: Interviews with 873 registered French voters, conducted on Feb. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, February 14, 2007
France: Sarkozy Opens up 7.5 pt. Lead
Who would you vote for in the presidential election?
| Feb. 12 | Jan. 20 | Jan. 15 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 33.5% | 32.5% | 33% |
| Ségolène Royal | 26% | 28% | 28% |
| François Bayrou | 14% | 12.5% | 12% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 3% | 4% | 3.5% |
| José Bové | 3% | -- | -- |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2.5% | 3% | 3% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Dominique Voynet | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 1.5% | 2% | 3% |
| Corinne Lepage | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignant | 1% | -- | -- |
| Gérard Schivardi | 0.5% | -- | 0.5% |
| Frédéric Nihous | -- | -- | 1% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Feb. 12 | Jan. 20 | Jan. 15 | |
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 54% | 51% | 52% |
| Ségolène Royal | 46% | 49% | 48% |
Source: Ifop / Paris Match
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 879 French registered voters, conducted on Feb. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Thursday, February 1, 2007
France: Sarkozy Holds on to Small Lead
Which candidate would you support in the first round of the presidential election?
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 31% |
| Ségolène Royal | 29% |
| François Bayrou | 14% |
| Jean-Marie Le Pen | 10% |
| Marie-George Buffet | 5% |
| Olivier Besancenot | 2% |
| Philippe de Villiers | 2% |
| Arlette Laguiller | 2% |
| Dominique Voynet | 2% |
| José Bové | 2% |
| Frédéric Nihous | 0.5% |
Run-Off Scenario
| Nicolas Sarkozy | 51% |
| Ségolène Royal | 49% |
Source: Louis-Harris / RMC
Methodology: Interviews with 1,006 French adults, conducted on Jan. 26 and Jan. 27, 2007. No margin of error was provided.