France: Sarkozy 26, Royal 24.5, Bayrou 19.5, Le Pen 15

Among the following candidates, who are you most likely to vote for in the first round of the presidential election?

	Mar. 29	Mar. 22	Mar. 14
Nicolas Sarkozy	26%	26%	27%
Ségolène Royal	24.5%	26%	26%
François Bayrou	19.5%	21%	21%
Jean-Marie Le Pen	15%	13%	14%
Marie-George Buffet	4%	3%	2%
Olivier Besancenot	3%	3.5%	2%
Arlette Laguiller	2%	2%	2%
José Bové	2%	2%	2%
Philippe de Villiers	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%
Dominique Voynet	1%	1%	1%
Frédéric Nihous	1%	0.5%	0.5%
Gérard Schivardi	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%

Run-Off Scenario

	Mar. 29	Mar. 22	Mar. 14
Nicolas Sarkozy	52%	50%	53%
Ségolène Royal	48%	50%	47%

Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 922 French adults, conducted on Mar. 28 and Mar. 29, 2007. No margin of error was provided.