Sunday, February 10, 2008
Delegate Count: Obama 1137, Hillary 1134
| State | Date | Delegates | Obama | Clinton | ||
| Total | - | - | 1137 | 1134 | ||
| Super Delegates | - | 796 | 139 | 213 | ||
| Iowa | 01/03 | 45 | 16 | 15 | ||
| New Hampshire | 01/08 | 22 | 9 | 9 | ||
| Michigan | 01/15 | 0 * | - | - | ||
| Nevada | 01/19 | 25 | 13 | 12 | ||
| South Carolina | 01/26 | 45 | 25 | 12 | ||
| Florida | 01/29 | 0 * C | - | - | ||
| California | 02/05 | 370 | 163 | 207 | ||
| New York | 02/05 | 232 C | 93 | 139 | ||
| Illinois | 02/05 | 153 | 104 | 49 | ||
| New Jersey | 02/05 | 107 | 48 | 59 | ||
| Massachusetts | 02/05 | 93 | 38 | 55 | ||
| Georgia | 02/05 | 87 | 61 | 26 | ||
| Minnesota | 02/05 | 72 | 48 | 24 | ||
| Missouri | 02/05 | 72 | 36 | 36 | ||
| Tennessee | 02/05 | 68 | 29 | 39 | ||
| Colorado | 02/05 | 55 C | 19 | 9 | ||
| Arizona | 02/05 | 56 C | 25 | 31 | ||
| Alabama | 02/05 | 52 | 27 | 24 | ||
| Connecticut | 02/05 | 48 C | 26 | 22 | ||
| Arkansas | 02/05 | 35 | 8 | 27 | ||
| Oklahoma | 02/05 | 38 C | 14 | 24 | ||
| Kansas | 02/05 | 32 C | 23 | 9 | ||
| New Mexico | 02/05 | 26 C | 12 | 13 | ||
| Utah | 02/05 | 23 | 14 | 9 | ||
| Delaware | 02/05 | 15 C | 9 | 6 | ||
| Idaho | 02/05 | 18 | 15 | 3 | ||
| North Dakota | 02/05 | 13 | 8 | 5 | ||
| Alaska | 02/05 | 13 C | 9 | 4 | ||
| Washington | 02/09 | 78 | 43 | 15 | ||
| Louisiana | 02/09 | 56 C | 34 | 22 | ||
| Nebraska | 02/09 | 24 | 16 | 8 | ||
| Maine | 02/10 | 24 C | 13 | 8 | ||
| 2,025 Delegates Needed to Win (Delegate Counts Come From AP, Wash Post, CBS News & RCP) | ||||||
Source: Real Clear Politics
Confidence in War on Terror Highest in 3 Years
The latest Rasmussen Reports tracking poll finds that 49% of Americans now say the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror (see crosstabs). That’s up from 43% a month ago and is the highest level of confidence measured in more than three years.
Not only that, just 23% now believe the terrorists are winning. That’s down two points from a month ago and down seven points from 30% three months ago. It’s the lowest level of pessimism recorded during the President’s second term in office.
Source: Rasmussen Reports.
Italy Wants Weak US President
Who would you prefer to win the U.S. presidential election?
| A Democratic Party candidate | 58% |
| A Republican Party candidate | 15% |
| Other / Not sure | 27% |
Source: Istituto Piepoli
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 502 Italian adults, conducted from Jan. 21 to Jan. 28, 2008. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
France: Sarkozy Loses Favor
Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Nicolas Sarkozy’s performance as president?
| Feb. 2007 | Jan. 2007 | Dec. 2007 | |
| Positive | 41% | 54% | 56% |
| Negative | 55% | 44% | 39% |
Do you have a positive or negative opinion of François Fillon’s performance as prime minister?
| Feb. 2007 | Jan. 2007 | Dec. 2007 | |
| Positive | 47% | 50% | 46% |
| Negative | 47% | 44% | 47% |
Source: LH2 / Libération
Methodology: Interviews with 1,003 French adults, conducted on Feb. 1 and Feb. 2, 2008. No margin of error was provided.
UK: Conservatives Lead by 5
If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party do you think you would vote for?
| Jan. 31 | Jan. 20 | Jan. 10 | |
| Conservative | 37% | 37% | 40% |
| Labour | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| Liberal Democrat | 21% | 20% | 18% |
| Other | 10% | 8% | 9% |
Source: ICM Research
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,012 British adults, conducted on Jan. 30 and Jan. 31, 2008. No margin of error was provided.
New Zealand: Conservative Lead Grows
If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?
| Jan. 20 | Dec. 9 | Nov. 25 | |
| National | 52% | 47.5% | 48% |
| Labour | 33.5% | 34.5% | 35% |
| Greens | 6.5% | 6% | 6.5% |
| New Zealand First | 3.5% | 5% | 5% |
| Maori Party | 2% | 2% | 2.5% |
| ACT | 1% | 2% | 1.5% |
| United Future | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Progressives | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Interviews with 1,588 New Zealand voters, conducted from Jan. 3 to Jan. 20, 2008. No margin of error was provided.
Chile: Bachelet Doing So-So
Do you approve or disapprove of Michelle Bachelet’s performance as president?
| Jan. 2008 | Dec. 2007 | Nov. 2007 | |
| Approve | 43.0% | 45.1% | 38.2% |
| Disapprove | 38.6% | 39.2% | 44.2% |
Source: Adimark Gfk
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,025 Chilean adults, conducted from Jan. 10 to Jan. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
McCain Leads Hillary in Most Recent Polls
National Support
| McCain (R) | Clinton (D) | |
| ARGM Poll of Polls | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| (4) Opinion Research / CNN | 47% | 50% |
| (3) RT Strategies / Cook | 45% | 41% |
| (2) TNS / ABC / Washington Post | 50% | 45% |
| (1) GQRR / NPR | 48% | 45% |
(4) Opinion Research Corporation / CNN (Telephone interviews with 974 registered American voters, conducted from Feb. 1 to Feb. 3, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.)
(3) RT Strategies / Cook Political Report (Telephone interviews with 855 registered American voters, conducted from Jan. 31 to Feb. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.)
(2) TNS / Washington Post / ABC News (Telephone interviews with 1,249 American adults, conducted from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.)
(1) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research / National Public Radio (Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely American voters, conducted from Jan. 29 to Jan. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.)
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
Russia: Medvedev Dominating So-Called Election
I recently found out that 'Medvedev' means I'm Vlad's lil' puppet boy in Russian.
If the presidential election were conducted this Sunday, which of these candidates would you vote for?
(Likely Voters)
Dmitry Medvedev
71.2%
Vladimir Zhirinovsky
6.1%
Gennady Zyuganov
5.6%
Mikhail Kasyanov
0.8%
Andrei Bogdanov
0.4%
Undecided
15.9%
Source: All-Russian Public Opinion Research Center
Methodology: Interviews with 1,600 Russian adults, conducted on Jan. 26 and Jan. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
Massachusetts: Romney Crushing McCain & Huck
Massachusetts
| Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Romney | |
| (3) Survey USA | 3% | 37% | 1% | 58% |
| (2) Suffolk Univ. | 4% | 37% | 3% | 50% |
| (1) SurveyUSA | 3% | 34% | 3% | 57% |
(3) Survey USA (275 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 6.0 MofE)
(2) Suffolk University (400 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 4.9 MofE)
(1) Survey USA (297 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.7 MofE)
Georgia: Obama Leads 'The Moist One' in All Polls
Georgia
| Clinton | Obama | |
| (7) Zogby International | 31% | 48% |
| (6) Strategic Vision | 27% | 49% |
| (5) Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 52% |
| (4) Insider Advantage | 36% | 51% |
| (3) Zogby International | 28% | 48% |
| (2) Mason-Dixon | 41% | 47% |
| (1) Insider Advantage | 36% | 52% |
(7) Zogby International (851 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(6) Strategic Vision (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb 1-3, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(5) Rasmussen Reports (542 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Insider Advantage (342 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(3) Zogby International (940 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.3 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage (301 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
Italy: Conservatives Lead Leftists by 12 pts.
If a national election took place tomorrow, which list would you vote for?
| Centre-Right | 56% |
| Centre-Left | 44% |
Source: Istituto Demopolis
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,006 Italian adults, conducted from Jan. 25 to Jan. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
Norwegians Against Being Annexed by European Empire
Oops! I mean European Union.
If a referendum on European Union (EU) membership took place today, how would you vote?
In favour of accession
34.6%
Against accession
54.3%
Not sure
11.1%
Source: Opinion / NRK / Aftenposten
Methodology: Interviews with 1,200 Norwegian voters, conducted in January 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Latest Missouri Polls
U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Missouri Primary
Republican Party
| Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Romney | |
| (7) Survey USA | 31% | 33% | 6% | 28% |
| (6) Zogby International | 27% | 35% | 5% | 24% |
| (5) Zogby International | 27% | 36% | 4% | 22% |
| (4) American Research Group | 31% | 29% | 4% | 27% |
| (3) Mason-Dixon | 27% | 37% | 1% | 24% |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 29% | 32% | 5% | 28% |
| (1) SurveyUSA | 28% | 34% | 5% | 30% |
(7) Survey USA (542 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.3 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (868 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-3 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (868 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (593 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (505 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
Democratic Party
| Clinton | Obama | |
| (6) Survey USA | 54% | 43% |
| (5) Zogby International | 42% | 47% |
| (4) Zogby International | 44% | 43% |
| (4) American Research Group | 42% | 44% |
| (3) Mason-Dixon | 47% | 41% |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 39% |
| (1) SurveyUSA | 48% | 44% |
(7) Survey USA (671 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (851 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (877 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (507 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (664 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
Romney, McCain Fight it Out For California
| Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Romney | |
| (7) Survey USA | 9% | 39% | 7% | 36% |
| (6) American Research Group | 16% | 32% | 8% | 33% |
| (5) Zogby International | 12% | 32% | 5% | 40% |
| (4) Zogby International | 12% | 34% | 5% | 37% |
| (3) Rasmussen Reports | 10% | 38% | 6% | 38% |
| (2) Mason-Dixon | 13% | 40% | 3% | 31% |
| (1) Field | 13% | 32% | 10% | 24% |
(7) SurveyUSA (517 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.4 MofE)
(6) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (915 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.3 MofE)
(4) Zogby International (1,185 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 2.9 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports (693 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Field (481 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 25-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.6 MofE, Rudy Giuliani voters were re-interviewed after Giuliani withdrew from the race)