October 21: Election Prediction Fun

MOCK ELECTION

SENATE

Arkansas: John Boozman defeats Blanche Lincoln by 26 pts (PICKUP)

California: Barbara Boxer defeats Carly Fiorina by 3 pts (HOLD)

Colorado: Ken Buck defeats Michael Bennet by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Delaware: Chris Coons defeats Christine O'Donnell by 3 pts (HOLD)

Florida: Marco Rubio defeats Charlie Crist by 12 pts (HOLD)
Illinois: Mark Kirk defeats Alexi Giannoulias by 3 pts (PICKUP)

Indiana: Dan Coats defeats Brad Ellsworth by 22 pts (PICKUP)

Kentucky: Rand Paul defeats Jack Conway by 11 pts (HOLD)
Missouri: Roy Blunt defeats Robin Carnahan by 10 pts (HOLD)

Nevada: Sharron Angle defeats Harry Reid by 7 pts (PICKUP)

New York: Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Joe Dio Guardi by 11 pts (HOLD)

New York: Chuck Schumer defeats Jay Townsend by 24 pts (HOLD)
Pennsylvania: Pat Toomey defeats Joe Sestak by 14 pts (PICKUP)
Washington: Patty Murray defeats Dino Rossi by 2 pts (HOLD)

West Virginia: John Raese defeats Joe Manchin by 3 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson defeats Russ Feingold by 10 pts (PICKUP)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Arkansas (Republicans +2)

Arkansas 1st: Rick Crawford defeats Chad Causey by 19 pts (PICKUP)

Arkansas 2nd: Tim Griffin defeats Joyce Elliott by 24 pts (PICKUP)

Delaware (Democrats +1)

Delaware AL (At Large): John Carney defeats Glen Urquhart by 3 pts (PICKUP) 



Nevada (Republicans +1)

Nevada 3rd: Joe Heck defeats Dina Titus by 5 pts (PICKUP) 

New Jersey (Republicans +2)

New Jersey 3rd: Jon Runyan defeats John Adler by 11 pts (PICKUP) 

New Jersey 6th: Frank Pallone defeats Anna Little by 2 pts (HOLD)

New Jersey 12th: Scott Sipprelle defeats Rush Holt by 3 pts (PICKUP) 

New York (3 Weak GOP Candidates on Top of Ticket Muddies the Waters!)

New York 2nd: Steve Israel defeats John Gomez by 5 pts (HOLD)

New York 4th: Carolyn McCarthy defeats Fran Becker by 3 pts (HOLD)

New York 22nd: George Phillips defeats Maurice Hinchey by 1 pt (PICKUP)

Wisconsin (Republicans +3)
Wisconsin 3rd: Dan Kapanke defeats Ron Kind by 3 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin 7th: Sean Duffy defeats Julie Lassa by 15 pts (PICKUP) 
Wisconsin 8th: Reid Ribble defeats Steve Kagen by 10 pts (PICKUP)

Governor (To come)

Related articles

• Sestak, Toomey set for debate amid flurry of polls that show Sestak surge has closed gap (pennlive.com)
• Republican Senate Hopefuls Top Democrats in Money Race (businessweek.com)
• 10 steps on the Republican path to winning back the Senate (blogs.telegraph.co.uk)
• Poll: Murkowski Stays Close With Miller -- But Write-In Confusion Could Hurt Chances (time.com)
• Republican Senate Hopefuls Top Democrats in Cash Race (businessweek.com)
• Senate Takeover Less Likely After Tea Party Wins (cbsnews.com)
• Blanche Lincoln: Trying to Get Her Groove Back at the Arkansas State Fair (politicsdaily.com)
• Polling and Political Wrap, 10/13/10 (dailykos.com)

OCTOBER 7: 2010 Election Prediction Fun

Time for some 2010 predictions. Starting with a few Senate and then I will add more in the coming days.
Senate

Arkansas: John Boozman defeats Blanche Lincoln by 26 pts (PICKUP)

California: Barbara Boxer defeats Carly Fiorina by 3 pts (HOLD)

Colorado: Ken Buck defeats Michael Bennet by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Florida: Marco Rubio defeats Charlie Crist and Kendrick Meek (HOLD)

Indiana: Dan Coats defeats Brad Ellsworth by 22 pts (PICKUP)

Kentucky: Rand Paul defeats Jack Conway by 11 pts (HOLD)

Missouri: Roy Blunt defeats Robin Carnahan by 10 pts (HOLD)

Nevada: Sharron Angle defeats Harry Reid (PICKUP)

New York: Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Joe Dio Guardi (HOLD)

New York: Chuck Schumer defeats Jay Townsend by 20 pts (HOLD)

Pennsylvania: Pat Toomey defeats Joe Sestak by 14 pts (PICKUP)

Washington: Patty Murray defeats Dino Rossi by 2 pts (HOLD)


West Virginia: John Raese defeats Joe Manchin by 10 pts (PICKUP)

Wisconsin: Ron Johnson defeats Russ Feingold by 10 pts (PICKUP)

House (To come)
Governor (To come)

Schumer Saying Americans Don't Mind Pork

Chuck Schumer's Daily Checklist

• Wake up, lick lips and dart eyes back and forth
• Look for TV cameras that might be hidden in bedroom
• Lick lips 25 times in disappointment
• Dart eyes back and forth while eating breakfast
• Blame Bush for breakfast not tasting so good, lick lips
• When TV camera is found pointing at someone else, skitter and hop into the background of the shot
• Squeeze mouth into what the peasants would call a 'smile'
• Blame Republicans for something 5-7 times
• Look for a different TV camera
• Dart eyes back and forth at noon, lick lips, then do it again
• Blame 'Bush' for 2-5 things
• Look for more TV cameras
• Dart eyes back and forth in the afternoon
• Practice that 'smile' thing in the mirror
• Smack lips
• Blame Republicans for 3-7 natural disasters in 3rd World countries
• Look for a large group of TV camera
• Lick Nancy Pelosi's Lips
• Dart eyes back and forth in the evening
• During last TV Camera appearance of the day, accuse Republicans of being phony, beady eyed lip smackers
• Starbucks, for Hemp Infused Latte
• Lick lips while asleep
• Dream of licking Harry Reid's eyes
• Dream of TV cameras