October 21: Election Prediction Fun

MOCK ELECTION

SENATE

Arkansas: John Boozman defeats Blanche Lincoln by 26 pts (PICKUP)

California: Barbara Boxer defeats Carly Fiorina by 3 pts (HOLD)

Colorado: Ken Buck defeats Michael Bennet by 6 pts (PICKUP)

Delaware: Chris Coons defeats Christine O'Donnell by 3 pts (HOLD)

Florida: Marco Rubio defeats Charlie Crist by 12 pts (HOLD)
Illinois: Mark Kirk defeats Alexi Giannoulias by 3 pts (PICKUP)

Indiana: Dan Coats defeats Brad Ellsworth by 22 pts (PICKUP)

Kentucky: Rand Paul defeats Jack Conway by 11 pts (HOLD)
Missouri: Roy Blunt defeats Robin Carnahan by 10 pts (HOLD)

Nevada: Sharron Angle defeats Harry Reid by 7 pts (PICKUP)

New York: Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Joe Dio Guardi by 11 pts (HOLD)

New York: Chuck Schumer defeats Jay Townsend by 24 pts (HOLD)
Pennsylvania: Pat Toomey defeats Joe Sestak by 14 pts (PICKUP)
Washington: Patty Murray defeats Dino Rossi by 2 pts (HOLD)

West Virginia: John Raese defeats Joe Manchin by 3 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson defeats Russ Feingold by 10 pts (PICKUP)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Arkansas (Republicans +2)

Arkansas 1st: Rick Crawford defeats Chad Causey by 19 pts (PICKUP)

Arkansas 2nd: Tim Griffin defeats Joyce Elliott by 24 pts (PICKUP)

Delaware (Democrats +1)

Delaware AL (At Large): John Carney defeats Glen Urquhart by 3 pts (PICKUP) 



Nevada (Republicans +1)

Nevada 3rd: Joe Heck defeats Dina Titus by 5 pts (PICKUP) 

New Jersey (Republicans +2)

New Jersey 3rd: Jon Runyan defeats John Adler by 11 pts (PICKUP) 

New Jersey 6th: Frank Pallone defeats Anna Little by 2 pts (HOLD)

New Jersey 12th: Scott Sipprelle defeats Rush Holt by 3 pts (PICKUP) 

New York (3 Weak GOP Candidates on Top of Ticket Muddies the Waters!)

New York 2nd: Steve Israel defeats John Gomez by 5 pts (HOLD)

New York 4th: Carolyn McCarthy defeats Fran Becker by 3 pts (HOLD)

New York 22nd: George Phillips defeats Maurice Hinchey by 1 pt (PICKUP)

Wisconsin (Republicans +3)
Wisconsin 3rd: Dan Kapanke defeats Ron Kind by 3 pts (PICKUP)
Wisconsin 7th: Sean Duffy defeats Julie Lassa by 15 pts (PICKUP) 
Wisconsin 8th: Reid Ribble defeats Steve Kagen by 10 pts (PICKUP)

Governor (To come)

Related articles

• Sestak, Toomey set for debate amid flurry of polls that show Sestak surge has closed gap (pennlive.com)
• Republican Senate Hopefuls Top Democrats in Money Race (businessweek.com)
• 10 steps on the Republican path to winning back the Senate (blogs.telegraph.co.uk)
• Poll: Murkowski Stays Close With Miller -- But Write-In Confusion Could Hurt Chances (time.com)
• Republican Senate Hopefuls Top Democrats in Cash Race (businessweek.com)
• Senate Takeover Less Likely After Tea Party Wins (cbsnews.com)
• Blanche Lincoln: Trying to Get Her Groove Back at the Arkansas State Fair (politicsdaily.com)
• Polling and Political Wrap, 10/13/10 (dailykos.com)

Colorado: Jane Norton Leads Two Democrats by 12; Other Republicans Lead Too

Image via Wikipedia

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in CO
January 13, 2009

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Jane Norton (R)	49%
Michael Bennet (D)	37%
Some other candidate	3%
Not sure	11%

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Jane Norton (R)	47%
Andrew Romanoff (D)	35%
Other	5%
Not sure	14%

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Tom Wiens (R)	44%
Andrew Romanoff (D)	39%
Other	4%
Not sure	14%

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Tom Wiens (R)	44%
Michael Bennet (D)	38%
Some other candidate	4%
Not sure	14%

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Ken Buck (R)	40%
Andrew Romanoff (D)	39%
Other	5%
Not sure	16%

Election 2010: Colorado Senate Race
Ken Buck (R)	43%
Michael Bennet (D)	38%
Some other candidate	4%
Not sure	15%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

• Jane Norton Bars Democratic Tracker Who Caught Statements On Camera (huffingtonpost.com)
• Jane Norton on Obama: 'The rights of terrorists are more important in this administration than the lives of American citizens' (crooksandliars.com)