Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Iowa: Huckabee Takes the Lead
Mitt Romney 25%
Rudy Giuliani 12%
Fred Thompson 11%
Ron Paul 5%
John McCain 4%
Tom Tancredo 4%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Florida: Huckabee Makes Giant Leap in Poll
Huckabee 17 (+9)
McCain 13 (+4)
Romney 12 (-5)
Thompson 9 (-4)
Paul 3 (na)
Source: Insider Advantage via Real Clear Politics
Colombia: Uribe Very Popular
Do you approve or disapprove of Álvaro Uribe’s performance as president?
Nov. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | |
Approve | 78% | 73% | 66% |
Disapprove | 19% | 20% | 27% |
Source: Gallup
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,000 Colombian adults in the cities of Bogotá, Medellin, Cali and Barranquilla, conducted from Nov. 9 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Israel: No Trust in Government Leaders Attending Annapolis Conference
On the eve of Annapolis, do you have confidence in the three leaders of the government?
Yes | No | |
Ehud Olmert | 24% | 75% |
Ehud Barak | 29% | 68% |
Tzipi Livni | 52% | 44% |
The entire leadership | 27% | 69% |
Should borders, Jerusalem, and the "right of return" be negotiated already at the start of the talks?
Yes | 35% |
No | 63% |
Source: Dahaf Institute / Yediot Ahronot
Methodology: Interviews with 500 Israeli adults, conducted on Nov. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Germany: Conservative's Lead Grows Slightly
What party would you support in Germany’s next federal election?
Nov. 16 | Nov. 2 | Oct. 26 | |
Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) / | 40% | 40% | 39% |
Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 24% | 26% | 26% |
Left Party (Linke) | 12% | 11% | 11% |
Green Party (Grune) | 9% | 10% | 10% |
Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 9% | 8% | 9% |
Source: Forsa / Stern / RTL
Methodology: Interviews with 2,501 German adults, conducted from Nov. 12 to Nov. 16, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
Spain: Socialists Lead by 7 pts.
What party would you support in the next general election?
Nov. 21 | Nov. 6 | Oct. 23 | |
Socialist Worker’s Party (PSOE) | 45% | 44.5% | 44% |
Popular Party (PP) | 38% | 38% | 39% |
United Left (IU) / | 4% | 4% | 3.3% |
Convergence and Union (CiU) | 3.2% | 3% | 3.2% |
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
Source: Instituto Opina / Cadena Ser
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 Spanish adults, conducted on Nov. 21, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
Monday, November 26, 2007
Several Nations See China as Next Superpower
Thinking now of the future and the year 2020, which, if any, of the following countries or regions will be the dominant world power?
BRI | FRA | ITA | ESP | GER | USA | |
United States | 32% | 19% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 40% |
China | 28% | 47% | 38% | 45% | 25% | 24% |
Europe | 4% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 4% |
India | 3% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
Russia | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% |
Japan | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
Other | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
None of these | 2% | -- | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
Not sure | 26% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 24% |
Source: Harris Interactive / Financial Times
Methodology: Online interviews with 6,590 adults in Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the United States, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 14, 2007. Margin of error for individual countries is 3 per cent.
UK: Conservatives Lead by 9 pts
If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
Nov. 22 | Nov. 16 | Oct. 24 | |
Conservative | 41% | 41% | 41% |
Labour | 32% | 35% | 38% |
Liberal Democrats | 14% | 13% | 11% |
Other | 13% | 11% | 10% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,600 British adults, conducted from Nov. 21 to Nov. 22, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Croatia: Half Want to Join EU
Do you support or oppose Croatia’s accession into the European Union (EU)?
Support | 49.8% |
Oppose | 38.6% |
No opinion | 12.4% |
Source: Promocija Plus
Methodology: Interviews with 1,300 Croatian adults, conducted on Nov. 2 and Nov. 3, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Hungary: Huge Lead for Fidesz
If an election were held today, what party would you support?
(Decided Voters)
Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
Hungarian Citizens Party (Fidesz) | 64% | 58% | 54% |
Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) | 26% | 32% | 35% |
Hungarian Democratic Forum (MDF) | 4% | 2% | 3% |
Alliance of Free Democrats (SZDSZ) | 4% | 2% | 3% |
Source: Median
Methodology: Interviews with 1,200 Hungarian adults, conducted from Nov. 9 to Nov. 13, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
New Zealand: National Party Lead Grows (A Lot)
If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?
Nov. 11 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 14 | |
National | 48% | 45% | 45.5% |
Labour | 34% | 40.5% | 39% |
Greens | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
New Zealand First | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3% |
Maori Party | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2% |
United Future | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
ACT | 1% | 1% | 0.5% |
Progressives | -- | -- | -- |
Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Interviews with 808 New Zealand voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 11, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Friday, November 23, 2007
Republicans & Americans in General Prefer 'Merry Christmas' to 'Happy Holidays'
Happy Holidays 26%
Those Who Prefer "Merry Christmas," by Party Affiliation:
Republicans 88%
Democrats 57%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Giuliani Leads Hillary by 4, Hillary Leads Thompson by 2
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Fred Thompson (R) 44%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Argentina: Cristina Not as Popular as Husband
Do you have a positive or negative opinion of the following people?
(Positive responses listed)
Néstor Kirchner | 77.4% |
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 68.0% |
Source: Ricardo Rouvier y Asociados
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,200 Argentine adults, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 9, 2007. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
Palestinians Feeling a Little Blue
But not as much as this past summer...
Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation at this stage?
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Jun. 2007
Optimistic
30.4%
27.4%
27.0%
Pessimistic
62.7%
67.9%
70.3%
No opinion
6.8%
4.6%
2.6%
Source: An-Najah National University
Methodology: Interviews with 1,360 Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, conducted from Nov. 15 to Nov. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Hillary's Lead Over Obama Plummets
If the 2008 Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 38% | 46% | 35% |
Barack Obama | 27% | 25% | 21% |
John Edwards | 13% | 9% | 10% |
Bill Richardson | 3% | 2% | 3% |
Dennis Kucinich | 2% | 3% | 2% |
Joe Biden | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Other | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Not sure | 14% | 12% | 22% |
Source: Zogby International / Reuters
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 545 likely Democratic voters, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
British Think Brown Fails in Relationship With Bush
Gordon Brown has recently been speaking about Britain’s ‘special relationship’ with America. Thinking about this, and his relationship with U.S. president George W. Bush, from what you know do you think Mr. Brown...
Is closer to Bush than Tony Blair was | 1% |
Has about the same relationship with Bush as Blair had | 13% |
Is less close to Bush than Blair was | 74% |
Don’t know | 12% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,983 British adults, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 16, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
UK: Conservatives Lead Labour by 6 pts
If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
Nov. 16 | Oct. 24 | Oct. 6 | |
Conservative | 41% | 41% | 38% |
Labour | 35% | 38% | 41% |
Liberal Democrats | 13% | 11% | 11% |
Other | 11% | 10% | 10% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,983 British adults, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 16, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Italy: Conservatives Lead Leftists by 7.5 pts
Voting Intention - Chamber of Deputies
Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
House of Freedom (Centre-Right) Forwards Italy (Forza Italia) | 53.5% | 49.4% | 49.7% |
Union (Centre-Left) Democratic Party (PD) | 46.0% | 46.5% | 45.0% |
Other parties | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% |
Source: Ekma Ricerche Srl
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 Italian adults, conducted on Nov. 9 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Flordia: Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain all Lead Hillary
"A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the presidential race in
Florida shows former Big Apple Mayor Rudy Giuliani with a modest lead over Senator Hillary Clinton of 46% to 41%. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leads the former First Lady 46% to 39%. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson has a nine point edge 47% to 38% while Arizona Senator John McCain leads by ten, 48% to 38%These numbers flip the scenario Rasmussen Reports witnessed in an August poll of the race in Florida. Then, Clinton enjoyed a five-point edge on Giuliani and double-digit leads over Thompson, McCain, and
Romney . Another change: today a lot more voters prefer a third option and express support for Some Other Candidate.It’s interesting to note the consistency of the numbers regardless of the Republican candidate matched against Clinton. All the GOP hopefuls earn between 46% and 48% of the vote while Clinton attracts 38% to 41%."
Source: Rasmussen Reports
New York: Hillary Leads Giuliani by 9 pts in 3-way Race
Hillary Clinton (D) | 42% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 33% |
Michael Bloomberg (I) | 17% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Georgia: Giuliani, Thompson Lead Hillary, Obama
Rudy Giuliani (R) 48% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 51% - 37% Barack Obama (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 47% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 48% - 39% Barack Obama (D)
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Georgia, conducted on Nov. 7 and Nov. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Good News for Giuliani; So-So News for Hillary & Obama; Bad News for Richardson & Romney
Do you think the voters of this country are ready to elect a qualified (...) as president, or don’t you think so?
Are ready | Don’t think so | Unsure | |
Italian American | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Woman | 69% | 24% | 7% |
African American | 63% | 27% | 10% |
Hispanic | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Mormon | 38% | 50% | 12% |
Source: Hart/McInturff / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,509 American adults, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 5, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Video: American Flags Come Crashing Down Around Hillary
Is this a warning from someone about what will happen if Big Sister is elected President?
Update: Hillary accuses flags of 'piling on' because she's a woman.
When You Want the Very Worst
Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)
Lane Evans (D-IL)
Martin Meehan (D-MA)
Janice Schakowsky (D-IL)
Albio Sires (D-NJ) Unfortunately, this a-hole is my Congressman.
Diane Watson (D-CA)
Ron Paul Independent Run Would Hurt Giuliani
Rudy Giuliani (R) 39%
Ron Paul (L) 8%
Ralph Nader (G) 4%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Barack Obama Surges in Iowa
U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Iowa Democratic Caucus
Contenders (in alphabetical order): Joe Biden (JB), Chris Dodd (CD), John Edwards (JE), Mike Gravel (MG), Dennis Kucinich (DK), Barack Obama (BO), Bill Richardson (BR), Hillary Rodham Clinton (HC).
HC | BO | JE | BR | JB | DK | CD | MG | |
(2) Strategic Vision | 29% | 27% | 20% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | -- |
(1) CBS / NYT | 25% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% | -- |
Methodology and Sources:
(2) Strategic Vision (600 Democratic caucus goers, Nov. 9-12, 2007, 4.0 MofE)
(1) CBS News / New York Times (793 Democratic caucus goers, Nov. 2-11, 2007, 4.0 MofE)
Giuliani Leads, Thompson & Romney Tied for 2nd
Republican Presidential Primary Contenders
Nov. 11 | Nov. 4 | Oct. 28 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 25% | 23% | 21% |
Fred Thompson | 14% | 17% | 18% |
Mitt Romney | 14% | 13% | 12% |
John McCain | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Mike Huckabee | 10% | 12% | 12% |
Ron Paul | 6% | 3% | 2% |
Tom Tancredo | 1% | 3% | 2% |
Duncan Hunter | -- | 1% | 1% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with approximately 1,100 likely Republican primary voters, conducted from Nov. 5 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
McCain Leads Hillary; Hillary Leads Romney
Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election
McCain v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 8 | Oct. 11 | Sept. 13 | |
John McCain (R) | 47% | 43% | 45% |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 45% | 44% | 46% |
Romney v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 8 | Oct. 11 | Sept. 13 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) | 47% | 47% | 49% |
Mitt Romney (R) | 42% | 41% | 40% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely American voters, conducted on Nov. 7 and Nov. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
The Insanity of Bush Hatred
Bush hatred is different. It's not that this time members of the intellectual class have been swept away by passion and become votaries of anger and loathing. Alas, intellectuals have always been prone to employ their learning and fine words to whip up resentment and demonize the competition. Bush hatred, however, is distinguished by the pride intellectuals have taken in their hatred, openly endorsing it as a virtue and enthusiastically proclaiming that their hatred is not only a rational response to the president and his administration but a mark of good moral hygiene.
This distinguishing feature of Bush hatred was brought home to me on a recent visit to Princeton University. I had been invited to appear on a panel to debate the ideas in Princeton professor and American Prospect editor Paul Starr's excellent new book, "Freedom's Power: The True Force of Liberalism." To put in context Prof. Starr's grounding of contemporary progressivism in the larger liberal tradition, I recounted to the Princeton audience an exchange at a dinner I hosted in Washington in June 2004 for several distinguished progressive scholars, journalists, and policy analysts.
To get the conversation rolling at that D.C. dinner--and perhaps mischievously--I wondered aloud whether Bush hatred had not made rational discussion of politics in Washington all but impossible. One guest responded in a loud, seething, in-your-face voice, "What's irrational about hating George W. Bush?" His vehemence caused his fellow progressives to gather around and lean in, like kids on a playground who see a fight brewing.
Source: Wall Street Journal Online
US Will Try to Counter China's Anti-Satellite Agression
The Falcon could fly at six times the speed of sound and deliver bombs anywhere in the world in minutes
Source: London Telegraph
Hillary Caves on Licenses for Illegal Aliens
Clinton stumbled when asked about the issue during a Democratic debate two weeks ago, and her new position comes the day before another debate where opponents are expected to raise the issue again.
Source: AP
Venezuela: Almost Half Optimistic Chavez Nightmare Will End
How do you perceive the future of Venezuela?
Venezuela will be a socialist and democratic country | 46.7% |
Venezuela will be a communist country, like Cuba | 29.9% |
Venezuela will be a socialist country, but not democratic | 15.9% |
Not sure / No reply | 7.5% |
Source: Venezuelan Institute for Data Analysis (IVAD)
Methodology: Interviews with 1,200 Venezuelan adults, conducted from Oct. 15 to Oct. 28, 2007. Margin of error is 2.4 per cent.
Portugal: Socialist's Lead Down to 1 pt
What party would you vote for in a general election?
Oct. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | |
Socialist Party (PS) | 37% | 44% |
Social Democratic Party (PSD) | 36% | 29% |
Unitarian Democratic Coalition (CDU) | 12% | 8% |
Leftist Bloc (BE) | 8% | 9% |
Social Democratic Centre / | 3% | 6% |
Source: Marktest / Diario de Noticias / TSF
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 803 Portuguese adults, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 19, 2007. Margin of error is 3.45 per cent.
New Hampshire: Romney Rising, Hillary Falling
I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomination?
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Jul. 2007
Mitt Romney
32%
25%
34%
Rudy Giuliani
20%
24%
20%
John McCain
17%
18%
12%
Ron Paul
7%
4%
2%
Mike Huckabee
5%
3%
2%
Fred Thompson
3%
13%
13%
Duncan Hunter
--
1%
--
Tom Tancredo
--
1%
1%
Sam Brownback
n.a.
2%
--
Someone else
6%
1%
3%
No opinion
12%
9%
13%
I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic nomination. If the Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democratic nomination?
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Jul. 2007
Hillary Rodham Clinton
35%
43%
36%
Barack Obama
21%
20%
27%
John Edwards
15%
12%
9%
Bill Richardson
10%
6%
11%
Dennis Kucinich
3%
3%
3%
Joe Biden
2%
3%
4%
Chris Dodd
1%
1%
--
Someone else
2%
1%
--
No opinion
11%
11%
9%
Source: University of New Hampshire Survey Center / Boston Globe
Methodology: Interviews with 404 likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, and 400 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 7, 2007. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
NBC Poll: Democrats Lose Ground in Most Matchups
The biggest change being in a Giuliani/Hillary race.
If the next election for president were held today, and (...) were the Republican candidate and (...) were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
46%
49%
Rudy Giuliani (R)
45%
42%
Romney v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
50%
51%
Mitt Romney (R)
39%
38%
Thompson v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
51%
50%
Fred Thompson (R)
37%
41%
McCain v. Rodham Clinton
Nov. 2007
Dec. 2006
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
47%
43%
John McCain (R)
43%
47%
Giuliani v. Obama
Nov. 2007
Jul. 2007
Barack Obama (D)
44%
45%
Rudy Giuliani (R)
42%
40%
Romney v. Obama
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Barack Obama (D)
48%
51%
Mitt Romney (R)
36%
34%
Giuliani v. Edwards
Nov. 2007
John Edwards (D)
45%
Rudy Giuliani (R)
44%
Source: Hart/McInturff / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,509 American adults, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 5, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Lunatic Leftist Join Newsweek
"We have always sought to represent a diversity of views in Newsweek, and we think Markos [Moulitsas] will be a great part of that tradition. He will give our readers in print and online a unique perspective. As always, our job is to create the most energetic and illuminating magazine possible, and Markos will help us do that as the campaign unfolds."
Source: National Review Online
Connecticut: Another Poll Shows Close Race Between Giuliani & Hillary
Hillary Clinton (D) | 46% |
Rudy Giuliani (R) | 43% |
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Tennessee: Thompson Leads Hillary by 13, Obama by 23
Hillary 41
Fred Thompson 56
Barack Obama 33
Source: Rasmussen Reports
British Want Tougher Immigration Laws
Which of these statements comes closest to your views on laws about immigration in Britain?
Oct. 2007 | Aug. 2006 | |
Laws on immigration should be abolished, | 2% | 1% |
Laws on immigration should be relaxed | 5% | 5% |
Laws on immigration should remain as they are | 13% | 17% |
Laws on immigration should be much tougher | 64% | 63% |
Immigration should be stopped altogether | 12% | 12% |
Don’t know | 3% | 2% |
Source: Ipsos-MORI / The Observer
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,013 British adults, conducted on Oct. 31 and Nov. 1, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Kosovo: Close Race for Assembly
Which party would you support in the next election to the Assembly?
Oct. 2007 | Aug. 2007 | |
Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) | 31% | 28% |
Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) | 29% | 37% |
Alliance New Kosovo (AKR) | 16% | 9% |
Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) | 9% | 12% |
Democratic League of Dardania (LDD) | 8% | 8% |
Hour Party (ORA) | 5% | 4% |
Source: Index Kosova / BBSS Gallup International
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,003 adult respondents in Kosovo, conducted from Oct. 25 to Oct. 31, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
France: Sarkozy, Fillon Lose Some Popularity
Do you have confidence in president Nicolas Sarkozy to face France’s problems?
Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | Aug. 2007 | |
Confidence | 53% | 57% | 64% |
No confidence | 42% | 40% | 32% |
Do you have confidence in prime minister François Fillon to face France’s problems?
| Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | Aug. 2007 |
Confidence | 44% | 52% | 53% |
No confidence | 47% | 42% | 39% |
Source: TNS-Sofres / Le Figaro Magazine
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 French adults, conducted on Oct. 24 and Oct. 25, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Monday, November 12, 2007
Giuliani 30, McCain 17, Romney 13, Thompson 12 etc...
If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
Nov. 2007 | May 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 30% | 28% | 28% |
John McCain | 17% | 18% | 21% |
Mitt Romney | 13% | 7% | 10% |
Fred Thompson | 12% | 13% | n.a. |
Mike Huckabee | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Ron Paul | 2% | -- | 1% |
Duncan Hunter | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Tom Tancredo | -- | 1% | 1% |
Newt Gingrich | n.a. | 8% | 11% |
Tommy Thompson | n.a. | 3% | 1% |
Sam Brownback | n.a. | 2% | 1% |
Chuck Hagel | n.a. | 1% | -- |
Other | n.a. | n.a. | 2% |
Undecided | 20% | 15% | 22% |
Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion / WNBC
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 306 Republicans and Republican leaning independents, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 5.5 per cent.
Germany: Conservatives Lead by 14
What party would you support in Germany’s next federal election?
Nov. 2 | Oct. 26 | Oct. 12 | |
Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) / | 40% | 39% | 40% |
Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 26% | 26% | 25% |
Left Party (Linke) | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Green Party (Grune) | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 8% | 9% | 9% |
Source: Forsa / Stern / RTL
Methodology: Interviews with 2,502 German adults, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 2, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
Americans in the Middle on Abortion
Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
Nov. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | Feb. 2007 | |
Legal in all cases | 19% | 23% | 16% |
Legal in most cases | 36% | 34% | 39% |
Illegal in most cases | 27% | 28% | 31% |
Illegal in all cases | 16% | 14% | 12% |
No opinion | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,131 American adults, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Mexico: Calderón a Little Less Popular
Do you approve or disapprove of Felipe Calderón’s performance as president?
Oct. 2007 | Aug. 2007 | May 2007 | |
Approve | 57% | 64% | 68% |
Disapprove | 33% | 20% | 21% |
Source: Ipsos-Bimsa / El Universal
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 995 Mexican adults, conducted from Oct. 26 to Oct. 31, 2007. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Denmark: Leftists Lead
What party would you support in the next general election?
Nov. 9 | Nov. 5 | Oct. 28 | |
Left, Liberal Party of Denmark (V) | 26.5% | 26.7% | 23.9% |
Social Democracy in Denmark (SD) | 23.0% | 25.5% | 24.7% |
Socialist People’s Party (SF) | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
Danish People’s Party (DF) | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
Conservative People’s Party (KF) | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
Radical Left-Social Liberal Party (RV) | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
New Alliance (NA) | 5.1% | 4.5% | 9.6% |
Unity List-The Red Greens (EL) | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
Christian Democrats (KD) | 1.1% | -- | 0.5% |
Source: Catinét Research / Ritzau
Methodology: Interviews with 1,100 Dane adults, conducted from Nov. 7 to Nov. 9, 2007. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Democrat Senator Claims Khalid Sheik Mohammed Has Moral High-Ground Over USA
Introducing the 'Muslim Car'
Hillary's Planted Debate Questions
The revelation today about a campaign-prompted question comes just one day after the Clinton campaign admitted to planting a question this week in Iowa.
That instance involved an unidentified Clinton campaign staffer who approached a female student from Grinnell College and asked her to pose a question about global warming at a campaign stop at a biodiesel plant in Newton, Iowa, on Nov. 6.
Source: ABC News
Chinese Sub Threatens US Naval Excercise
No More USA: Islamic State of North America by 2050?
The group says it has a six-point plan of action which is implemented at each location where a branch of the movement is established.
- Establishing a mosque "as a place to worship Allah in congregation and as a center of spiritual and moral training."
- "Calling the general society" to embrace Islam.
- Establishing a full-time school "that raises children with a strong Islamic identity so they can, as future Islamic leaders, effectively meet and deal with the challenges of growing up in the West."
- Establishing businesses to "make the movement financially stable and independent."
- Establishing "geographical integrity by encouraging Muslims of the community to live in close proximity" to the mosque.
- Establishing "social welfare institutions to respond to the need for spiritual and material assistance within the community as well as the general society."
Hamas: Will Take Over West Bank Too
"Israel thinks Fatah in the West Bank is there to serve it, but we will take over the West Bank the way we took over Gaza," stated [Mahmoud] al-Zahar at a major Hamas rally Friday in the Gaza Strip.
Dead Heat: Huckabee Trails Hillary by Only 3
Mike Huckabeee 43
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Hillary Siphons Off Some GOP Women, But Loses Democrat Men
Recent Rasmussen Reports polling data from match-ups against top Republican
candidates offers some support for that claim—it shows Clinton attracting an average of 18% support from Republican women.However, there is another side to the gender gap story. The same surveys show that while Clinton is attracting 18% of Republican women, she is losing an average of 20% of Democratic men to the Republicans.
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Hillary Leads Romney by Just 5 in National Poll
Mitt Romney 42
Source: Rasmussen Reports
McCain Takes Over Nationwide Lead From Hillary
Hillary Rodham Clinton 45
This is the first lead by McCain over Hillary since MAY
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Friday, November 9, 2007
Connecticut Close: Big Sister 45, Giuliani 44
In other possible presidential matchups (Other Republicans not doing as well, although McCain is still surprisingly strong):
- Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ties Giuliani 43 - 43 percent;
- Giuliani tops former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards 46 - 41 percent;
- Clinton beats Arizona Sen. John McCain 47 - 41 percent;
- Clinton tops former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 53 - 31 percent;
- Clinton beats former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 51 - 34 percent.
Thursday, November 8, 2007
North Carolina: Giuliani Leads Thompson by 11
Kentucky: Giuliani, Thompson Lead Hillary
Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 41% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Fred Thompson (R) 44% - 43% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Kentucky, conducted on Nov. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Giuliani 28, Thompson 19, McCain 16
Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2008.
Nov. 4 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 28% | 27% | 28% |
Fred Thompson | 19% | 19% | 27% |
John McCain | 16% | 17% | 15% |
Mitt Romney | 11% | 13% | 11% |
Mike Huckabee | 10% | 5% | 5% |
Ron Paul | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Duncan Hunter | 4% | 3% | 1% |
Tom Tancredo | 3% | 1% | 2% |
Sam Brownback | n.a. | 1% | 2% |
No opinion | 5% | 11% | 8% |
Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 397 registered Republicans, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
Australia: ALP Leads Coalition by 6
If a federal election to the House of Representatives were held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If "Uncommitted", to which one of these do you have a leaning?
Nov. 4 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 21 | |
Australian Labor Party | 47% | 48% | 51% |
Coalition (Liberal / National) | 42% | 42% | 38% |
Australian Greens | 5% | 4% | 5% |
Others | 6% | 6% | 6% |
Two-Party Preferred Vote
Nov. 4 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 21 | |
Australian Labor Party | 53% | 54% | 58% |
Coalition (Liberal / National) | 47% | 46% | 42% |
Source: Newspoll / The Australian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,708 Australian voters, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Tuesday, November 6, 2007
New York: Giuliani Trails Hillary by 6 pts.
| New York | NYC | Suburbs | Upstate |
Clinton | 44% | 55% | 43% | 36% |
Giuliani | 38% | 27% | 40% | 45% |
Someone Else | 9% | 7% | 7% | 12% |
Not sure | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding |
Source: Zogby International