Monday, October 27, 2008
Electoral College Projection: McCain/Palin 278, Obama/Biden 260
1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. Acorn. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...
Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Monday, October 27, 2008:
Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.
Labels:
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I think you are smoking something really good. Your 'controversial' (in that you are out of sync with all of the polls for the past 6 weeks) states are New Hampshire, Virginia and Colorado. There is also the little problem that McCain is currently losing in all of Nevada, Indiana, North Caroline, Ohio and Florida. The path for McCain is scarily narrow.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, keep enjoying those happy pills Mr. Chuckles. I do appreciate the smiles you give to all of us raging liberals every time you concoct a map like this.