Thursday, March 15, 2007

France: Tight Three-Way Race

Which candidate would you support in the first round of the presidential election?


Mar. 10

Mar. 3

Feb. 24

Nicolas Sarkozy

28%

28%

30%

Ségolène Royal

26%

27%

27%

François Bayrou

22%

20%

17%

Jean-Marie Le Pen

13.5%

14%

13%

Marie-George Buffet

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

Olivier Besancenot

2%

1.5%

3.5%

Arlette Laguiller

2%

2%

2%

José Bové

1.5%

2%

1.5%

Philippe de Villiers

1.5%

1%

1%

Dominique Voynet

1%

1%

1%

Frédéric Nihous

--

0.5%

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

--

0.5%

0.5%

Run-Off Scenarios

Sarkozy v. Royal


Mar. 10

Mar. 3

Feb. 24

Nicolas Sarkozy

52%

52%

50%

Ségolène Royal

48%

48%

50%

Sarkozy v. Bayrou


Mar. 10

François Bayrou

55%

Nicolas Sarkozy

45%

Source: Louis-Harris / RMC
Methodology: Interviews with 1,000 French adults, conducted on Mar. 9 and Mar. 10, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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