Monday, October 20, 2008

Electoral College Projection: McCain 293, Obama 245

Averaging out the state by state polls, correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats, including an increased Black turnout, an energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote, voter fraud and throwing in a modest Bradley Effect... here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Monday, October 20, 2008:


Created using Real Clear Politics' interactive electoral college map.

17 comments :

  1. This is good for a laugh...thank you. We all needed a little humor.

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  2. Wow... this is so dumb that it is actually making me a little uncomfortable. You are going to be so disappointed when Obama wins by about 200 electoral votes

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  3. Just out of curiosity, what is your middle name?

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  4. Could you be MORE out of touch with reality? I suspect not. Apparently this is a fantasy site designed to allow its authors and McCain followers to feel better by sticking heads in the sand.

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  5. Could you post where you're drawing your data and conclusion from?

    This site seem very skewed compared even to other thoroughly conservative websites.

    I'm interested in your data analysis so please post how you've come to these conclusions.

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  6. Funny how just today the McCain campaign announced that they are pulling out of Colorado realizing they have no hope to win it and at the same time you have the state red. Hilarious, you are as out of touch as the McCain/Palin campaign.

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  7. This is a fascinating map.

    I find MN and NM most surprising. Although those wouldn't affect your hoped-for outcome, could you share the details of how you think McCain wins them?

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  8. Thanks for the chuckle.

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  9. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

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  10. I think that you are missing a few reds. There are four states on the West and a few on the east that need to be red. Other than that, thank you for your objectivity.

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  11. It is amazing how incredibly dumb you must be. Iowa and Michigan going for Obama? It thought it was just the mainstream media who had the stinking liberal bias.

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  12. wishful thinking central. interpreting every possible thing in McP's light is priceless. Nicely done, I hope this is done in an ironic light. If so, good on ya, good for a guffaw, if not well I fell for ya. Best of luck

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  13. OK... so here's the thing: You've got a pretty vague statement at the beginning of your post about your "method" for correcting the flaws in the polls. The problem is that it reads more like a list of Republican talking points than actual science. So, if you want people to take it seriously, you're going to have to be more detailed about how you came up with this and why. If it is nothing more than "Hmmm, I think this state will go this way" then it's nothing more than delusional wishful thinking and you deserve every bit of the criticism that's being hurled at you.

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  14. You, sir, are the reason the term "douchenozzle" was invented.

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  15. You left out a few states, they are still blue.

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  16. Are you serious? Literally EVERY OTHER POLLING SITE - no kidding, every single one - has Obama in the lead.

    No wait, you can't be serious. You have next to no explaination for the methods used to get this map drawn up. You seem to be absolutely ignoring every poll from the last 3 months.

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  17. I've been there dude. You want to win so bad, you think you need to win so bad, so a little hopeful thinking, you know, maybe the turnout in Colorado Springs will be through the roof, maybe Minnesota will still be excited by the convention, maybe those numbers in Virginia or Pennsylvania are wrong, maybe Republicans aren't answering the phone . . .
    You're gonna be depressed, it's gonna be hard. Just take a few days off, don't answer the phone, stay off the computer . . . hopefully you aren't a political professional so you don't have to go in Weds. and answer any questions. I'd suggest that you read a book or something (I'd suggest Origin of Species)
    It will get better in a fwe months. You won't have to justify what your guys have done. So take a deep breath and chill out for awhile.

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