1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. ACORN. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...
Here is the state of the Presidential Race
today, Thursday, October 30, 2008:
Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.
Keep dreaming!
ReplyDeleteHow certain are you that these factors you list are enough to give the election to McCain? Would you be willing to make a wager based on your prediction that McCain will win the electoral college?
ReplyDeleteI think it is very telling that he has AZ, GA and NC as pink and not solid red. This proves he does not even believe in his own logic; otherwise, those states would be beyond close. He puts them as "close" to make his logic seem more plausible, but by his own logic, they wouldn't be. You've been figured out... ;)
ReplyDeleteIs this a humor site?
ReplyDelete