Idiot: Joe Biden Accuses GOP of Spending $200 Billion

“I was amazed at the amount of money, this $200 billion of money that is — where there’s no accountability,” Vice President Joe Biden said. 

Real Clear Politics

Biden Contradicts Obama Again, OK With Israel Bombing Iranian Nukes

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

Vice President Joe Biden signaled that the Obama administration would not stand in the way if Israel chose to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, even as the top U.S. military officer said any attack on Iran would be destabilizing.

Biden's remarks suggested a tougher U.S. stance against Iran's nuclear ambitions. Nonetheless, administration officials insisted his televised remarks Sunday reflected the U.S. view that Israel has a right to defend itself and make its own decisions on national security.

Yahoo! News

What Democrats on the Web Think is Funny

War Brewing Between Catholics and Obama on Abortion?

The nation's Roman Catholic bishops vowed Tuesday to forcefully confront the Obama administration over its support for abortion rights, saying the church and religious freedom could be under attack in the new presidential administration.

In an impassioned discussion on Catholics in public life, several bishops said they would accept no compromise on abortion policy. Many condemned Catholics who had argued it was morally acceptable to back President-elect Obama because he pledged to reduce abortion rates.

And several prelates promised to call out Catholic policy makers on their failures to follow church teaching. Bishop Joseph Martino of Scranton, Pa., singled out Vice President-elect Biden, a Catholic, Scranton native who supports abortion rights.

"I cannot have a vice president-elect coming to Scranton to say he's learned his values there when those values are utterly against the teachings of the Catholic Church," Martino said. The Obama-Biden press office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Associated Press

Final Electoral Vote Projection: McCain/Palin 304, Obama/Biden 234

Electoral College: McCain/Palin 304, Obama/Biden 234

1. Averaging out the state by state polls. (This is the base where I start from, but it is useless unless the following points are also taken into consideration)
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant, bi-poller as another, more famous blogger with the initials AJS likes to say).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning AND advertising in down the stretch. This has been my number 1 factor. Their internal polls are more accurate than media polls, and the best way to get a window on the internal polls is to see where the candidates are putting their money where their mouth is, and also where they are putting their boots on their feet.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. ACORN. Walking Around Money. etc...
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...I don't believe it will be zero, but to play it safe I have been using a low number. Many liberals themselves have warned of up to around a 6 pt. Bradley Effect. So I'm using a pretty conservative number.

Tomorrow, my final projection! Woohoo!

Here is the state of the Presidential Race

Today, Monday, November 3, 2008:

Image created with the Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.

Electoral College Map: McCain/Palin 299, Obama/Biden 239

1. Averaging out the state by state polls. (This is the base where I start from, but it is useless unless the following points are also taken into consideration)
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant, bi-pollar as another, more famous blogger with the initials AJS likes to say).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning AND advertising in down the stretch. This is my number 1 factor. Their internal polls are more accurate than media polls, and the best way to get a window on the internal polls is to see where the candidates are putting their money where their mouth is, and also where they are putting their boots on their feet.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote. (Checking to early voting regularly to see how it is going. Obviously I can not know Election Day early voting.)
6. Voter fraud. ACORN. Walking Around Money. etc...
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...I don't believe it will be zero, but to play it safe I have been using a low number. Many liberals themselves have warned of up to around a 6 pt. Bradley Effect. So I'm using a pretty conservative number I think.

Here is the state of the Presidential Race
Today, Sunday, November 2, 2008:

Electoral Map: McCain/Palin 299, Obama/Biden 239

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant, bi-pollar as another, more famous blogger likes to say).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. ACORN. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race
Today, Saturday, November 1, 2008:

Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.

McCain Takes the Lead

Zogby has this result for Friday: McCain 48, Obama 47.

Source: Drudge Report

Nevada: Early Voting Shows McCain Probably Takes the State

Now, yesterday's headline might have been a little hyperbolic — it's still possible that massive numbers of Nevada Republicans stay home, or that massive numbers of Nevada Republicans vote for Obama. But right now, a huge advantage in terms of which party shows up for early voting has translated to a surprisingly modest lead for Obama. Unless there is something glaringly off-base about these numbers, then McCain will carry Nevada on Tuesday, as long If pro-McCain Republicans show up and vote.
Campaign Spot

And there's the caveat: If Republicans show up. If they pull another 2006, they get what they deserve. If it's like 2004, 2002 or 2000, McCain and America wins.

Electoral College: McCain 299, Obama 239

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. ACORN. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race
today, Thursday, October 30, 2008:



Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.

Electoral College: McCain 278, Obama 260

More battleground states than ever. This is getting pretty exciting. Michigan has changed from solid Obama to leans Obama. Montana, North Dakota and Georgia have changed from solid McCain to leans McCain. The final Electoral Map, the one actually decided by the voters, has the potential to look drastically different from the map created in the last two presidential elections. Also, this means that a lot more people now live in a state that has a potential to go either way, which means their vote might actually matter (Unlike my home state of New Jersey).

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. Acorn. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Wednesday, October 29, 2008:

Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.

Electoral College Projection: McCain/Palin 278, Obama/Biden 260

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats (starting to get a little less rampant).
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in down the stretch.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud. Acorn. Walking Around Money.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect (About 2 to 3 pts, since some of you have asked)...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Monday, October 27, 2008:

Image created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map.

Pennsylvania: Biden and Obama Ban Another TV Station for Hard Questions

Electoral College: McCain 278, Obama 260

I guess this should be a daily feature now, since there is only about a week and a half left until the election. There is no change from yesterday

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Friday, October 24, 2008:


Map created using Real Clear Politics interactive electoral college map

Electoral College: McCain 278, Obama 260

1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect...

Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Thursday, October 23, 2008:

Electoral College Projection: McCain 293, Obama 245

Averaging out the state by state polls, correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats, including an increased Black turnout, an energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote, voter fraud and throwing in a modest Bradley Effect... here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Monday, October 20, 2008:


Created using Real Clear Politics' interactive electoral college map.

Electoral College: McCain 279, Obama 259

Averaging out the state by state polls, correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats, including an increased Black turnout, an energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote, voter fraud and throwing in a modest Bradley Effect... here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Friday, October 17, 2008:

Created using Real Clear Politics interactive Electoral College Map

Electoral College: Obama 286, McCain 252

Averaging out the state by state polls, correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats, including an increased Black turnout, an energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote, voter fraud and throwing in a modest Bradley Effect... here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Tuesday, October 14, 2008:

Electoral College: McCain 284, Obama 254

Averaging out the state by state polls, correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats, including an increased Black turnout, voter fraud and throwing in a modest Bradley Effect... here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Monday, October 6, 2008:



Map created using Real Clear Politics' electoral map calculator.
Click on map to enlarge.