2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect...
Here is the state of the Presidential Race today, Saturday, October 25, 2008:
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Hahahahaha!
ReplyDeleteHow are you correcting for "rampant" oversampling of Democrats? (or, how do you know how much democrats are being oversampled)?
ReplyDeleteHow much of a Bradley effect are you using? Most analysts are of the opinion that the Bradley effect is minimal if it exists at all.
How are you determining the levels of voter fraud?