Mike Huckabee 28%
Mitt Romney 25%
Rudy Giuliani 12%
Fred Thompson 11%
Ron Paul 5%
John McCain 4%
Tom Tancredo 4%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Florida: Huckabee Makes Giant Leap in Poll
Giuliani 26 (-7 vs. 10/19 poll)
Huckabee 17 (+9)
McCain 13 (+4)
Romney 12 (-5)
Thompson 9 (-4)
Paul 3 (na)
Source: Insider Advantage via Real Clear Politics
Huckabee 17 (+9)
McCain 13 (+4)
Romney 12 (-5)
Thompson 9 (-4)
Paul 3 (na)
Source: Insider Advantage via Real Clear Politics
Colombia: Uribe Very Popular
Do you approve or disapprove of Álvaro Uribe’s performance as president?
| Nov. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | Jul. 2007 | |
| Approve | 78% | 73% | 66% |
| Disapprove | 19% | 20% | 27% |
Source: Gallup
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,000 Colombian adults in the cities of Bogotá, Medellin, Cali and Barranquilla, conducted from Nov. 9 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Israel: No Trust in Government Leaders Attending Annapolis Conference
On the eve of Annapolis, do you have confidence in the three leaders of the government?
| Yes | No | |
| Ehud Olmert | 24% | 75% |
| Ehud Barak | 29% | 68% |
| Tzipi Livni | 52% | 44% |
| The entire leadership | 27% | 69% |
Should borders, Jerusalem, and the "right of return" be negotiated already at the start of the talks?
| Yes | 35% |
| No | 63% |
Source: Dahaf Institute / Yediot Ahronot
Methodology: Interviews with 500 Israeli adults, conducted on Nov. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
Germany: Conservative's Lead Grows Slightly
What party would you support in Germany’s next federal election?
| Nov. 16 | Nov. 2 | Oct. 26 | |
| Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) / | 40% | 40% | 39% |
| Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 24% | 26% | 26% |
| Left Party (Linke) | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Green Party (Grune) | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 9% | 8% | 9% |
Source: Forsa / Stern / RTL
Methodology: Interviews with 2,501 German adults, conducted from Nov. 12 to Nov. 16, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
Spain: Socialists Lead by 7 pts.
What party would you support in the next general election?
| Nov. 21 | Nov. 6 | Oct. 23 | |
| Socialist Worker’s Party (PSOE) | 45% | 44.5% | 44% |
| Popular Party (PP) | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| United Left (IU) / | 4% | 4% | 3.3% |
| Convergence and Union (CiU) | 3.2% | 3% | 3.2% |
| Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
Source: Instituto Opina / Cadena Ser
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 Spanish adults, conducted on Nov. 21, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
Monday, November 26, 2007
Several Nations See China as Next Superpower
Thinking now of the future and the year 2020, which, if any, of the following countries or regions will be the dominant world power?
| BRI | FRA | ITA | ESP | GER | USA | |
| United States | 32% | 19% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 40% |
| China | 28% | 47% | 38% | 45% | 25% | 24% |
| Europe | 4% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 4% |
| India | 3% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| Russia | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| Japan | 1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Other | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| None of these | 2% | -- | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| Not sure | 26% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 24% |
Source: Harris Interactive / Financial Times
Methodology: Online interviews with 6,590 adults in Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the United States, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 14, 2007. Margin of error for individual countries is 3 per cent.
UK: Conservatives Lead by 9 pts
If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
| Nov. 22 | Nov. 16 | Oct. 24 | |
| Conservative | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| Labour | 32% | 35% | 38% |
| Liberal Democrats | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Other | 13% | 11% | 10% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,600 British adults, conducted from Nov. 21 to Nov. 22, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Croatia: Half Want to Join EU
Do you support or oppose Croatia’s accession into the European Union (EU)?
| Support | 49.8% |
| Oppose | 38.6% |
| No opinion | 12.4% |
Source: Promocija Plus
Methodology: Interviews with 1,300 Croatian adults, conducted on Nov. 2 and Nov. 3, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Hungary: Huge Lead for Fidesz
If an election were held today, what party would you support?
(Decided Voters)
| Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
| Hungarian Citizens Party (Fidesz) | 64% | 58% | 54% |
| Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) | 26% | 32% | 35% |
| Hungarian Democratic Forum (MDF) | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Alliance of Free Democrats (SZDSZ) | 4% | 2% | 3% |
Source: Median
Methodology: Interviews with 1,200 Hungarian adults, conducted from Nov. 9 to Nov. 13, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
New Zealand: National Party Lead Grows (A Lot)
If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?
| Nov. 11 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 14 | |
| National | 48% | 45% | 45.5% |
| Labour | 34% | 40.5% | 39% |
| Greens | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| New Zealand First | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3% |
| Maori Party | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2% |
| United Future | 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| ACT | 1% | 1% | 0.5% |
| Progressives | -- | -- | -- |
Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Interviews with 808 New Zealand voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 11, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Friday, November 23, 2007
Republicans & Americans in General Prefer 'Merry Christmas' to 'Happy Holidays'
Merry Christmas 67%
Happy Holidays 26%
Those Who Prefer "Merry Christmas," by Party Affiliation:
Republicans 88%
Democrats 57%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Happy Holidays 26%
Those Who Prefer "Merry Christmas," by Party Affiliation:
Republicans 88%
Democrats 57%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Giuliani Leads Hillary by 4, Hillary Leads Thompson by 2
Rudy Giuliani (R) 46%
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Fred Thompson (R) 44%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Fred Thompson (R) 44%
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Argentina: Cristina Not as Popular as Husband
Do you have a positive or negative opinion of the following people?
(Positive responses listed)
| Néstor Kirchner | 77.4% |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 68.0% |
Source: Ricardo Rouvier y Asociados
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,200 Argentine adults, conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 9, 2007. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
Palestinians Feeling a Little Blue
But not as much as this past summer...
Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation at this stage?
Nov. 2007
Sept. 2007
Jun. 2007
Optimistic
30.4%
27.4%
27.0%
Pessimistic
62.7%
67.9%
70.3%
No opinion
6.8%
4.6%
2.6%
Source: An-Najah National University
Methodology: Interviews with 1,360 Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, conducted from Nov. 15 to Nov. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Hillary's Lead Over Obama Plummets
If the 2008 Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
| Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
| Hillary Rodham Clinton | 38% | 46% | 35% |
| Barack Obama | 27% | 25% | 21% |
| John Edwards | 13% | 9% | 10% |
| Bill Richardson | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Dennis Kucinich | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Joe Biden | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Other | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Not sure | 14% | 12% | 22% |
Source: Zogby International / Reuters
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 545 likely Democratic voters, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
British Think Brown Fails in Relationship With Bush
Gordon Brown has recently been speaking about Britain’s ‘special relationship’ with America. Thinking about this, and his relationship with U.S. president George W. Bush, from what you know do you think Mr. Brown...
| Is closer to Bush than Tony Blair was | 1% |
| Has about the same relationship with Bush as Blair had | 13% |
| Is less close to Bush than Blair was | 74% |
| Don’t know | 12% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,983 British adults, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 16, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
UK: Conservatives Lead Labour by 6 pts
If there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
| Nov. 16 | Oct. 24 | Oct. 6 | |
| Conservative | 41% | 41% | 38% |
| Labour | 35% | 38% | 41% |
| Liberal Democrats | 13% | 11% | 11% |
| Other | 11% | 10% | 10% |
Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,983 British adults, conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 16, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
Italy: Conservatives Lead Leftists by 7.5 pts
Voting Intention - Chamber of Deputies
| Nov. 2007 | Oct. 2007 | Sept. 2007 | |
| House of Freedom (Centre-Right) Forwards Italy (Forza Italia) | 53.5% | 49.4% | 49.7% |
| Union (Centre-Left) Democratic Party (PD) | 46.0% | 46.5% | 45.0% |
| Other parties | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% |
Source: Ekma Ricerche Srl
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 Italian adults, conducted on Nov. 9 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Flordia: Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain all Lead Hillary
From the Rasmussen Reports web site:
"A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the presidential race in
Florida shows former Big Apple Mayor Rudy Giuliani with a modest lead over Senator Hillary Clinton of 46% to 41%. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leads the former First Lady 46% to 39%. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson has a nine point edge 47% to 38% while Arizona Senator John McCain leads by ten, 48% to 38%These numbers flip the scenario Rasmussen Reports witnessed in an August poll of the race in Florida. Then, Clinton enjoyed a five-point edge on Giuliani and double-digit leads over Thompson, McCain, and
Romney . Another change: today a lot more voters prefer a third option and express support for Some Other Candidate.It’s interesting to note the consistency of the numbers regardless of the Republican candidate matched against Clinton. All the GOP hopefuls earn between 46% and 48% of the vote while Clinton attracts 38% to 41%."
Source: Rasmussen Reports
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