THE INTERESTED AMERICAN

Monday, March 1, 2010

Kansas: Brownback Leads Holland by 22 pts

Sam Brownback, United States Senator photo por...

Kansas Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 24, 2010

Election 2010: Kansas Governor
Sam Brownback (R)	55%
Tom Holland (D)	33%
Some Other Candidate	4%
Not Sure	8%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Panama: President Martinelli Still Popular, but Losing Support

How would you rate the performance of Ricardo Martinelli as president?

	Feb. 2010	Jan. 2010	Oct. 2009
Good / Very Good	68.5%	81.4%	90.7%
Bad / Very Bad	27.3%	15.6%	7.1%

Source: Dichter & Neira / TVN
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,200 Panamanian adults, conducted from Feb. 5 to Feb. 7, 2010. Margin of error is 2.9 per cent.

Half of Canadians Happy With Their Economy

A map of Canada exhibiting its ten provinces a...

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How would you rate the economic conditions in Canada today?

	Feb. 2010	Jan. 2010	Oct. 2009	Sept. 2009
Very Good / Good	52%	48%	49%	47%
Poor / Very Poor	45%	45%	47%	49%
Not sure	3%	7%	4%	4%

Source: Angus Reid Public Opinion
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,013 Canadian adults, conducted on Feb. 23 and Feb. 24, 2010. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Pennsylvania: Murtha's Widow Won't Run

The race among Democrats to fill Pennsylvania's Rep. John Murtha's seat often seems like a competition over who would most resemble the 18-term Johnstown powerbroker once in office.
On Monday, the person who would most embody that sentiment, his widow, Joyce, said she is not going to run for the seat -- opening the Democratic field for more than a half-dozen candidates. The Murtha for Congress Committee said in a statement that Mrs. Murtha "feels that it is too soon after his death to be on the campaign trail."

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Florida: McCollum Leads Sink by 13

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McCollum 48 (+2 vs. last poll, 1/29)
Sink 35 (unch)
Und 12 (-1)

Real Clear Politics

Wisconsin: Republicans Lead Governors Race

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin
February 17, 2010

Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor
Mark Neumann (R)	44%
Tom Barrett (D)	42%
Other	4%
Not sure	10%

Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor
Scott Walker (R)	49%
Tom Barrett (D)	40%
Other	1%
Not sure	10%

Rasmussen Reports

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Ohio: Portman Primary Challenger Decides to Challenge Congresswoman Instead

Rob Portman, Director of the Office of Managem...

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The [Tom] Ganley switch is a coup for Republicans because it gives former Rep. Rob Portman a clear path to the GOP Senate nomination and could put another Democratic-held House seat into play. A recent internal GOP poll showed Ganley leading Sutton by 3 points.

The Hill

Oregon: Finally, a Democrat Who Looks Like he Might Win in November

Oregon Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 16, 2010

Election 2010: Oregon Senate
Jim Huffman (R)	35%
Ron Wyden (D)	49%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	9%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Tennessee: Bredeson's Press Secretary Denying Rumored Switch to GOP

Poll: GOP Making Striking Gains Against Dems

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll is signaling that the Republican Party’s resurgence is gaining strength as a growing number of Americans seem to think conservatives may be better at managing the economy than President Barack Obama and the Democrats.

The poll of 1,004 adults nationwide shows Republicans have narrowed the gap with the Democrats when it comes to who voters trust more to deal with the country’s problems. This shift erodes one of what had been Obama’s major political advantages.

NewsMax

New York: Jamestown Councilman Switches to Independence Party

Earlier this week, City Councilman Steve Szwejbka, the city's Ward 1 councilman, cited frustration with the status quo as his main reason for leaving the Democratic Party in favor of the Independence Party.
Szwejbka, who has been a member of the Democratic Party since the mid-1970s, is entering his third term as a Jamestown City Councilman. He serves on the council's Public Safety and Housing committees.

Post-Journal

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Washington: Rossi Leads Murray

Patty Murray, widely recognized as the stupidest member of the US Senate, is in trouble if she has to take on Dino Rossi, but seems to be having an easier time against the other candidates.

Washington Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 11, 2010

2010 Washington Senate
Dino Rossi (R)	48%
Patty Murray (D)	46%
Some Other Candidate	1%
Not Sure	5%

2010 Washington Senate
Don Benton (R)	38%
Patty Murray (D)	50%
Some Other Candidate	3%
Not Sure	9%

2010 Washington Senate
Clint Didier (R)	34%
Patty Murray (D)	49%
Some Other Candidate	4%
Not Sure	13%

2010 Washington Senate
Chris Widener (R)	33%
Patty Murray (D)	48%
Some Other Candidate	5%
Not Sure	14%

Rasmussen Reports

California: Whitman Tied With Brown

California Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 15, 2010

Election 2010: California Governor
Meg Whitman (R)	43%
Jerry Brown (D)	43%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	8%

Election 2010: California Governor
Steve Poizner (R)	34%
Jerry Brown (D)	46%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	13%

Election 2010: California Governor
Meg Whitman (R)	43%
Dianne Feinstein (D)	45%
Some Other Candidate	2%
Not Sure	9%

Election 2010: California Governor
Steve Poizner (R)	36%
Dianne Feinstein (D)	48%
Some Other Candidate	5%
Not Sure	11%

Rasmussen Reports

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Alabama: Chilton County Sheriff Switches to Republican Party for 2010

Chilton County Sheriff Kevin Davis plans to seek re-election in 2010, but this time as a Republican candidate.
Davis, who was elected as a Democrat in 2006, had shared his decision with several people prior to Friday. He said he felt that the timing was right to make the announcement.

Clanton Advertiser

New York: County Legislator Switches to GOP

Monroe County legislator, Carmen Gumina.

“There are many reasons I have made this change, but they all go back to my single most important priority as an elected official: being the best possible representative for my constituents in the town of Webster,” Gumina said during a news conference at GOP headquarters on State Street. “A bright future for Webster depends on a county government that believes in fiscal conservatism and protecting taxpayers.”

RocNow.com

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Connecticut: Blumenthal Leads Simmons by 19, McMahon by 20

Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumentha...

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Survey of 500 Likely Voters in CT
February 1, 2010

Election 2010: Connecticut Senate Race
Rob Simmons (R)	35%
Richard Blumenthal (D)	54%
Some other candidate	4%
Not sure	7%

Election 2010: Connecticut Senate Race
Linda McMahon (R)	36%
Richard Blumenthal (D)	56%
Other	3%
Not sure	4%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Monday, February 1, 2010

South Carolina: Spratt's Lead Shrinks to 7 pts

The survey of 600 fifth Congressional district voters found [John] Spratt, who until now has been considered an untouchable Democrat, had only a seven point lead on State Sen. Mick Mulvaney.
“John Spratt is going to have to fight for reelection but he’s in better shape than a lot of southern Democrats in conservative districts,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Most of his constituents still see him as a centrist, even as they see his Congressional Democratic brethren as too liberal.”

The Palmetto Scoop

New Jersey: Pallone in Trouble Too?

State Republicans are taking a serious look at Monmouth County GOP Vice Chair Diane Gooch to run against U.S. Rep. Frank Pallone (D-Long Branch), in part because of the depth of her pockets.

Gooch, who lives in Rumson and publishes the Two River Times in Red Bank, is married to Michael Gooch, the CEO of the New York-based brokerage firm GFI group who is estimated to be worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

Politicker NJ

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Massachusetts: Delahunt Looks Like GOP's Next Target

At least five people are considering a run for the 10th Congressional District seat he has held since 1997.
The growing field includes three former and current state office holders – former State Treasurer Joe Malone of Scituate; state Sen. Robert Hedlund, R-Weymouth; and state Rep. Jeff Perry, R-Sandwich – as well as two political newcomers, Don Hussey of Hingham and Ray Kasperowicz of Cohasset.

Enterprise News

British Have Poor Opinion of Economy

How would you rate the economic conditions in the UK today?

	Jan. 2010	Aug. 2009
Very Good / Good	14%	6%
Poor / Very Poor	83%	90%
Not sure	2%	3%

Source: Angus Reid Public Opinion
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,004 British adults, conducted on Jan. 26 and Jan. 27, 2010. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.

Americans Expect Gay Marriage to be Found Unconstitutional

As you may know, a U.S. District Court is reviewing the constitutional validity of California’s Proposition 8, which restored the definition of marriage in California as being between a man and a woman. It is expected that the case will eventually reach the U.S. Supreme Court, which may end up ruling about the validity of same-sex marriage at the federal level. If this case reaches the U.S. Supreme Court, what do you expect the outcome to be? If this case reaches the U.S. Supreme Court, what do you expect the outcome to be?

A ruling that defines marriage federally as between a man and a woman	52%
A ruling that defines marriage federally as between two people	28%
Not sure	19%

And, if this case reaches the U.S. Supreme Court, what would you prefer the outcome to be?

A ruling that defines marriage federally as between a man and a woman	58%
A ruling that defines marriage federally as between two people	34%
Not sure	8%

Source: Angus Reid Public Opinion
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,000 American adults, conducted on Jan. 12 and Jan. 13, 2010. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

North Carolina: Burr Has Large Leads Over Marshall, Cunningham

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina
January 27, 2010

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate Race
Richard Burr (R)	47%
Elaine Marshall (D)	37%
Other	6%
Not sure	10%

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate Race
Richard Burr (R)	50%
Cal Cunningham (D)	34%
Other	5%
Not sure	11%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Monday, January 25, 2010

Connecticut: Shays May Run Again

Image via Wikipedia

Politico is reporting that Republican Christopher Shays may run again for his old congressional seat against Democrat Jim Himes. But is this kind of weak, half-conservative someone who will hire up the base like other candidates have? Probably not, but he may be enough to kick Himes out in a year when just not being a Democrat is a big advantage.

Indiana: Pence Leads Bayh, Hostettler Trails by 3

Mike Pence, member of the United States House ...

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Survey of 800 Likely Voters
January 21 & 24, 2010

Election 2010: Indiana Senate
John Hostettler (R)	41%
Evan Bayh (D)	44%
Some other candidate	3%
Not sure	12%

Election 2010: Indiana Senate
Mike Pence (R)	47%
Evan Bayh (D)	44%
Some other candidate	3%
Not sure	7%

Election 2010: Indiana Senate
Marlin Stutzman (R)	33%
Evan Bayh (D)	45%
Some other candidate	5%
Not sure	16%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Friday, January 22, 2010

Indiana: Baron Hill in Trouble

A poll conducted just before Tuesday's vote in Massachusetts by USA Survey for the Web site firedoglake.com found that, in a head-to-head match-up, Mr. [Mike] Sodrel would beat Mr. [Baron] Hill 49% to 41%, with 10% of the voters undecided.

Wall Street Journal

Scott Brown's Win Helped by Union Member Revolt

Republican Scott Brown's victory in the Massachusetts Senate race was lifted by strong support from union households, in a sign of trouble for President Barack Obama and Democrats who are counting on union support in the 2010 midterm elections.
A poll conducted on behalf of the AFL-CIO found that 49% of Massachusetts union households supported Mr. Brown in Tuesday's voting, while 46% supported Democrat Martha Coakley. The poll conducted by Hart Research Associates surveyed 810 voters.
The finding, disclosed during an AFL-CIO conference call about the poll, represents a fresh problem for Democrats, who count on union leaders and union members as a pillar of the party's base.

Wall Street Journal

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Louisiana: Cao May Vote Against Health Care Bill This Time

Official photo of Representative Joseph Cao (R...

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The lone Republican who voted for the Democrats' health care reform bill in November won't support the final bill if it doesn't have the same abortion restrictions that passed in the House.
A spokeswoman for Rep. Anh "Joseph" Cao, Louisiana Republican, said Tuesday that the lawmaker is concerned the language in the final bill is going to be closer to what passed the Senate, which he doesn't support.

Washington Times

Erroll Southers: Outta Here!!!

Erroll Southers, President Obama's pick to head the Transportation Security Administration, withdrew today, claiming his nomination had become a lightning rod for those with a political agenda.
The decision was a blow for a White House already under fire by critics for its handling of the attempted Christmas bombing of an American airline.

World Net Daily

Italy: Views on Immigrants

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

	Agree	Disagree	Not sure
Immigrants who play a role in the economic life of a city, after a number of years, must have the right to vote in municipal elections	79.2%	15.4%	5.4%
All immigrants should take a course in Italian and civic values before being regularized	80.2%	18.5%	1.3%
Italian citizenship should be revoked if an immigrant is found to not share our values or commits crimes	76.9%	17.7%	5.4%

Source: Arnaldo Ferrari Nasi
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 Italian adults, conducted on Dec. 9 to Dec. 15, 2009. No margin of error was provided.

Denmark: Social Democrats & Liberals Tied

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What party would you support in the next general election?

	Dec. 2009	Oct. 2009
Social Democracy in Denmark (SD)	24.3%	23.3%
Left, Liberal Party of Denmark (V)	24.1%	24.8%
Socialist People’s Party (SF)	18.4%	18.3%
Danish People’s Party (DF)	14.3%	14.6%
Conservative People’s Party (KF)	10.7%	11.0%
Radical Left-Social Liberal Party (RV)	4.3%	4.3%
Unity List-The Red Greens (EL)	2.4%	2.8%
New Alliance (NA)	1.0%	0.5%
Christian Democrats (KD)	0.4%	0.4%

Source: Megafon / TV2
Methodology: Interviews with 1,587 Dane adults, conducted from Dec. 22 and Dec. 23, 2009. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Australia: ALP Lead Shrinks

BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA - NOVEMBER 24: Kevin Rudd...

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

If a federal election to the House of Representatives were held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If "Uncommitted", to which one of these do you have a leaning?

	Jan. 17	Dec. 6	Nov. 29
Australian Labor Party	40%	43%	43%
Coalition (Liberal / National)	38%	38%	35%
Australian Greens	12%	11%	12%
Others	10%	8%	10%

Two-Party Preferred Vote

	Jan. 17	Dec. 6	Nov. 29
Australian Labor Party	54%	56%	57%
Coalition (Liberal / National)	46%	44%	43%

Source: Newspoll / The Australian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,144 Australian voters, conducted from Jan. 15 to Jan. 17, 2010. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Rasmussen Says: GOP Generic Ballot Lead at 8

Date	Dem	GOP
01-17-10	37%	45%
01-10-10	36%	45%
01-03-10	35%	44%
12-27-09	38%	43%
12-20-09	36%	44%
12-13-09	37%	44%
12-06-09	39%	43%
11-29-09	37%	44%
11-22-09	37%	44%
11-15-09	38%	44%
11-08-09	37%	43%

Louisiana: Melancon Losing to Vitter & Dardenne

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Louisiana Survey of 500 Likely Voters
January 14, 2010

2010 Louisiana Senate Race
David Vitter (R)	53%
Charlie Melancon (D)	35%
Some Other Candidate	4%
Not Sure	8%

2010 Louisiana Senate Race
Jay Dardenne (R)	53%
Charlie Melancon (D)	31%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	10%

New York District 1: Tim Bishop Leads by Only 2 pts.

	Likely Voters	Republicans	Democrats	Independents
Tim Bishop (D)	47%	19%	70%	36%
Randy Altschuler (R)	45%	74%	25%	61%
Undecided	8%	7%	5%	4%

FDL / Survey USA

Dallas: White Losing to Both Perry & Hutchison

But White believes he can overtake a GOP rival, and says some Republicans will help him do it. KERA's Shelley Kofler reports.

This week's Rasmussen poll shows Perry holding a 10-point lead over Hutchison.

But when pollsters asked likely Texas voters to choose between Republican frontrunners and Democratic contender Bill White, they found Perry more vulnerable. Perry leads White by 10 points. Hutchison leads White by 15 points.

KERA

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Petty France Accuses US of 'Invading' Haiti

The French minister in charge of humanitarian relief called on the UN to "clarify" the American role amid claims the military build up was hampering aid efforts.
Alain Joyandet admitted he had been involved in a scuffle with a US commander in the airport's control tower over the flight plan for a French evacuation flight.

Telegraph

Florida: 5 Cherokee County Politicians Switch to GOP in Last 60 days.

“I attribute it to what’s going on in Washington, D.C.,” Schoolcraft said of the exodus of Dems to the GOP. “East Texas has always been conservative. From what they (the people who switched parties) tell me, the Democratic Party went off and left them because of their liberal agenda. The Democratic Party isn’t a conservative party at all anymore.”

Jacksonville Progress

For Coakley, Ominous Sign

Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley ...

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Fourteen months ago, there was a buzz on Blue Hill Ave. and the streets that run off it like caterpillar legs. This is the heart of the biggest minority community in the state, and the energy generated by the prospect of Barack Obama becoming president was palpable.

Yesterday, I drove the length of Blue Hill Ave. and counted exactly two Martha Coakley signs. One of them was on a fence next to the Roxbury Energy Gas station, on the corner of Moreland Street. The sign wasn’t properly fastened. It flapped in the wind, revealing a “Mike Flaherty for Mayor’’ sign underneath.

Boston.com

Massachusetts Senate Prediction

People's Seat beats Too Good To Shake Hands by 5.

Poland: Tusk Favored for President

45th Munich Security Conference 2009: Donald F...

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Which of these candidates would you vote for in a presidential election?

	Jan. 2010	Dec. 2009	Nov. 2009
Donald Tusk	27%	27%	24%
Lech Kaczynski	16%	18%	16%
Andrzej Olechowski	10%	3%	5%
Marek Jurek	3%	2%	2%
Andrzej Lepper	2%	3%	2%
Waldemar Pawlak	2%	1%	3%
Tomasz Nalecz	1%	n.a	n.a
Grzegorz Napieraski	--	1%	1%
Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz	n.a.	13%	13%
Other / Not sure	39%	32%	34%

Source: GfK Polonia / Rzeczpospolita
Methodology: Interviews to 989 Polish adults, conducted from Jan. 7 to Jan. 12, 2010. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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