Last week's election was bad for Democrats. The next one could be worse.Associated Press
Senate Democrats running in 2012 will be trying to hold their jobs in states where Republicans just scored major congressional and gubernatorial victories — Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Virginia.
The Democrats' problems don't end with senators.
Today, October 6th, is the first day this year that the Republican candidate leads in the most recent poll in ten Senate races for Democratic seats. If the Republicans hang onto these leads, they are assured of a majority!
North Dakota = Republican + 43%
Arkansas = Republican + 18%
Indiana = Republican + 18%
Wisconsin = Republican + 12%
Pennsylvania = Republican + 7%
Colorado = Republican + 5%
West Virginia = Republican + 5%
Illinois = Republican + 4%
Nevada = Republican + 3%
Washington = Republican + 1%
Over the last 24 hours, a series of polls for Senate races have been released from Marist and Rasmussen, and all of them look good for the GOP. In three states which would provide key pickups for Republicans, Colorado, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, their candidates have taken leads and have picked up some momentum heading into the last month of the campaign. In all three states, the losses will be a profound statement of Democratic erosion.
Image via Wikipedia Survey of 750 Likely Voters in Wisconsin | Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor | |
|---|---|
| Mark Neumann (R) | 48% |
| Tom Barrett (D) | 44% |
| Other | 3% |
| Not sure | 4% |
| Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor | |
|---|---|
| Scott Walker (R) | 47% |
| Tom Barrett (D) | 44% |
| Other | 4% |
| Not sure | 4% |
| Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor | |
|---|---|
| Mark Neumann (R) | 44% |
| Tom Barrett (D) | 42% |
| Other | 4% |
| Not sure | 10% |
| Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor | |
|---|---|
| Scott Walker (R) | 49% |
| Tom Barrett (D) | 40% |
| Other | 1% |
| Not sure | 10% |
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Just over 43% of respondents said they would vote for Thompson – the former Republican governor who served from 1987 to 2001 before accepting an appointment from President George W. Bush to become secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Just over 39% said they would vote for Feingold, the Democratic senator who was first elected in 1992. Feingold’s current term expires next year and, so far, his sole announced challenger on the Republican side is David Westlake, a small business owner from Watertown.
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A Milwaukee woman accused of filing fraudulent voter-registration forms has been charged with one count of election fraud.
A criminal complaint released to the media Tuesday says 19-year-old Latoya T. Lewis turned in multiple forms with the same voter name on them.
Chicago Tribune
Wisconsin Trends: McCain vs. Obama | ||
|---|---|---|
Date | McCain | Obama |
10/23/2008 | 44% | 51% |
44% | 54% | |
The numbers in Wisconsin and Minnesota are getting close enough that the Obama campaign closed its 11 campaign offices in North Dakota and moved the 50 staffers there to these two states.Obama's handlers have given up on North Dakota and are desperate to hold on to the other two states. If Obama loses either one, he probably loses the election.
Wisconsin Trends: McCain vs. Obama | ||
|---|---|---|
Date | McCain | Obama |
9/15/2008 | 46% | 48% |
43% | 47% | |
39% | 50% | |
43% | 45% | |
5/05/2008 | 47% | 43% |
48% | 46% | |
43% | 44% | |
The presidential race continues to tighten in Wisconsin, where Barack Obama now leads John McCain by just two percentage points, 48% to 46%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
Last month, it was a four-point race. A month earlier, in the first poll in the state since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, Obama had an 11-point lead over McCain 50% to 39%.
—Rasmussen Reports
Date | McCain | Obama |
8/05/2008 | 43% | 47% |
39% | 50% | |
43% | 45% | |
5/05/2008 | 47% | 43% |
48% | 46% | |
43% | 44% |
Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 - 42 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent lead last time;
Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 54 - 37 percent Obama lead;
Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 - 39 percent, compared to 52 - 39 percent.
—Quinnipiac
McCain (R) | Obama (D) | Other / Not sure | Date | |
| (3) SurveyUSA | 43% | 52% | 6% | Jun. 13-16 |
| (2) University of Wisconsin | 37% | 50% | 13% | Jun. 9-10 |
| (1) Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 45% | 12% | Jun. 5 |
(3) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 538 likely voters in Wisconsin, conducted from Jun. 13 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(2) University of Wisconsin - Telephone interviews with 506 likely voters in Wisconsin, conducted on Jun. 8 to Jun. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Wisconsin, conducted on Jun. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
