Image via Wikipedia Survey of 750 Likely Voters in Minnesota | Election 2010: Minnesota Governor | |
|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | 41% |
| Mark Dayton (D) | 44% |
| Tom Horner (I) | 10% |
| Some Other Candidate | 1% |
| Not sure Rasmussen Reports | 4% |
In hypothetical head-to-head match-ups, Pawlenty today defeats...
Paul Thissen, a Minneapolis-area state representative, by 19 points.
Tom Bakk, a state senator representing parts of northeast Minnesota, by 18 points.
John Marty, a state senator from Roseville, by 17 points.
Margaret Anderson Kelliher, Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives, by 17 points.
Susan Gaertner, County Attorney for Ramsey County, by 14 points.
Matt Entenza, former Minnesota State House Democratic Leader and 2006 candidate for Attorney General, by 14 points.
Chris Coleman, mayor of St. Paul and unrelated to Norm Coleman, by 11 points.R. T. Rybak, mayor of Minneapolis, today trails Pawlenty by 5 points. Pawlenty leads by 33 points among men; Rybak leads by 15 points among women -- a 48-point gender gap. Pawlenty carries Republicans 7:1; Rybak carries Democrats 5:1; Independents favor Pawlenty by 18 points.
Mark Dayton, former United States Senator from Minnesota, trails Pawlenty by 4 points, within the margin of sampling error and effectively even this far from the election. Pawlenty leads by 23 points among men; Dayton leads by 13 among women -- a 36-point gender gap. Dayton leads in northeastern Minnesota and southern Minnesota; Pawlenty leads in the Twin Cities area and the western portion of the state.
By a vote of 7-2, Bush v. Gore (2000) ruled that Florida's recount violated the principle that all votes must be treated uniformly. Applying precedents dating to the 1960s, the Court found that the Equal Protection Clause meant that ballots must be treated so as to give every vote equal weight. A state may not, by "arbitrary and disparate treatment, value one person's vote over that of another." Florida's lack of standards produced "unequal evaluation of ballots in several respects." The state's supreme court "ratified this uneven treatment" and created more of its own, and was unconstitutional.
Wall Street Journal
When voters woke up on Wednesday morning after the election, Senator Norm Coleman led Al Franken by what seemed like a relatively comfortable 725 votes. By Wednesday night, that lead had shrunk to 477. By Thursday night, it was down to 336. By Friday, it was 239. Late Sunday night, the difference had gone down to just 221 -- a total change over 4 days of 504 votes.
Fox News
A St. Cloud State University poll shows that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama leads Republican opponent John McCain 42 percent to 37 percent in Minnesota.
To me it appears that some public pollsters (like this one) have been moving closer to what the internal polls of the candidates have been saying (or at least rumored to say). Then again, some polls just keep on stacking the Democrat sample higher and higher, thus predetermining that the poll will show Obama with what looks like a nice lead unless you look at the internals of the poll.Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate race continues to display the volatility seen in polls throughout the season. After earlier surveys showed DFL challenger Al Franken with an edge, the SCSU poll shows Republican U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman leading with 36 percent, compared with 27 percent for Franken. Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley trails with 16 percent.
Minneapolis Star-Tribune
Al Franken has shown himself to be an angry, easily enraged man and after the October 16 Minnesota Senatorial candidate's debate he allowed his overwrought emotional state to send him over the edge once again. After the debate was over and the Media had turned off their microphones and cameras, Franken rushed over to Senator Norm Coleman's table and proceeded to angrily get in his face over some point or another made during the debate. Franken was getting so angry that his own wife had to rush over and force him to back off from a mounting confrontation with Coleman.
Newsbusters
Just a couple of days ago, Survey USA released a polls from Minnesota showing Republican US Senator Norm Coleman ahead of Democrat Al Franken by double digits and John McCain actually ahead of Obama by 1%. A couple of days later, the Minnesota Start Tribune claims it is Franken who leads Coleman by 9% and Obama is ahead of McCain by a ridiculous 18%.—The Hedgehog Report
McCain (R) | Obama (D) | Other / Not sure | Date | |
| (14) University of Wisc-Mad | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 14-17 |
| (13) PSRAI / Star Tribune | 45% | 45% | 10% | Sept. 10-12 |
| (12) SurveyUSA | 47% | 49% | 10% | Sept. 10-12 |
| (11) Opinion Research Corp. | 41% | 53% | 6% | Aug. 31-Sept. 2 |
| (10) MPR / HI | 38% | 48% | 14% | Aug. 7-17 |
| (9) SurveyUSA | 45% | 47% | 8% | Aug. 13-14 |
| (8) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 49% | 6% | Aug. 13 |
| (7) Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 49% | 14% | Jul. 22 |
| (6) Quinnipiac University | 44% | 46% | 10% | Jul. 14-44 |
| (5) Rasmussen Reports | 34% | 52% | 14% | Jul. 10 |
| (4) Quinnipiac University | 37% | 54% | 9% | Jun. 17-24 |
| (3) SurveyUSA | 46% | 47% | 7% | Jun. 13-16 |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 39% | 52% | 9% | Jun. 11 |
| (1) SurveyUSA | 42% | 47% | 12% | May 16-18 |
(14) University of Wisconsin-Madison - Telephone interviews with 1,610 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(13) Princeton Survey Research Associates International / Minnesota Star Tribune - Telephone interviews with 1,106 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(12) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 734 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(11) Opinion Research Corporation - Telephone interviews with 742 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(10) Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute - Telephone interviews to 763 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 7 to Aug. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(9) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews to 682 likely Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(8) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 700 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(6) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute - Telephone interviews with 1,261 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Jul. 14 to Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(4) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute - Telephone interviews with 1,572 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(3) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 543 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 13 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jun. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews to 600 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from May 16 to May 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
Much of Barack Obama’s 12-point lead over John McCain has disappeared in Minnesota. He is now ahead of his Republican rival by only four percentage points 46% to 42%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters.
With “leaners” factored in, Obama leads 49% to 45%.
—Rasmussen Reports
Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 - 42 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent lead last time;
Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 54 - 37 percent Obama lead;
Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 - 39 percent, compared to 52 - 39 percent.
—Quinnipiac
he presidential race tightened considerably in Minnesota over the last month, with Republican John McCain erasing a once-commanding lead by Democrat Barack Obama in Minnesota according to an independent poll released Thursday. Republican Norm Coleman remained far ahead of DFLer Al Franken in the Senate race.
The poll of likely Minnesota voters conducted by Quinnipiac University has Obama up 46 to 44. It's within the survey's margin of sampling error, meaning the race is considered about even. Last month, the same pollsters put Obama 17-percentage points ahead of McCain.
—USA Today
Norm Coleman (R) vs. | |
|---|---|
Norm Coleman (R) | 50% |
Al Franken (D) | 43% |
