North Carolina: Early Voting Brings Good Turnout News for Republicans

After three days, a total of 72,173 voters have cast one-stop ballots. That’s more than twice the 35,728 cast at the same point in the previous midterm election of 2006 and even more than the 70,645 in the 2004 presidential election. In 2008, a surprising 266,649 voters crowded one-stop centers in the first three days.

So far this year, registered Democrats are edging out Republicans by 31,910 to 27,623. By contrast, after three days in 2008, Democrats were swamping Republicans by nearly a 3-to-1 ratio – at that point, 163,321 votes to 58,748. 

Mountain Xpress

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Panic Attack-Ad: Version North Carolina (David Price)

Talk about showing your hand...

Rep. David Price is an 11-term Democrat who represents the Raleigh-Durham and Chapel Hill areas of North Carolina. His Republican opponent is B. J. Lawson, whom Price beat in 2008, 63 percent to 37 percent.

Campaign Spot

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• UPDATE: B.J. Lawson Signs $1 Million Term Limit Pledge with Alliance for Bonded Term Limits (prnewswire.com)

Boucher & McIntyre Added to NRCC Vulnerable List

According to a GOP strategist who tracks ad buys, the NRCC has placed an $82,000 buy against Rep. Rick Boucher (D) in Virginia's 9th district as well as a $45,000 buy against Rep. Mike McIntyre (D) in North Carolina's 7th district. The ad buys are for the week of Sept. 17-23.

Congressional Quarterly

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North Carolina: Burr Continues to Enjoy Large Lead

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina
March 22, 2010
 

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate
Richard Burr (R)	51%
Elaine Marshall (D)	35%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not sure	8%

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate
Richard Burr (R)	51%
Cal Cunningham (D)	32%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not sure	11%

Rasmussen Reports

North Carolina: Obama Popularity Low

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
Approve – 44%
Disapprove –53%
No opinion – 3%

Source: Civitas Institute

2010 Senate Outlook

Alabama Hold
Alaska Hold
Arkansas Hold
Arizona Hold
California Hold
Colorado Toss Up
Connecticut GOP Pick Up
Delaware Toss Up
Florida Hold
Georgia Hold
Hawaii Hold
Idaho Hold
Illinois GOP Pick Up
Indiana Hold
Iowa Hold
Kansas Hold
Kentucky Toss Up
Louisiana Hold
Maryland Hold
Missouri Dem Pick Up
Nevada Toss Up
New Hampshire Toss Up
New York (Special Election) Hold
New York Hold
North Carolina Hold
North Dakota Hold
Ohio Dem Pick Up
Oklahoma Hold
Oregon Hold
Pennsylvania GOP Pick Up
South Carolina Hold
South Dakota Hold
Texas Hold
Utah Hold
Vermont Hold
Washington Hold
Wisconsin Hold

North Carolina: Burr Increases Lead to Double Digits Over 2 Dems

Image via Wikipedia

The poll, which tested the Republican incumbent in hypothetical match-ups with Democrats Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, former state Sen. Cal Cunningham and attorney [Kenneth Lewis] found that Burr has expanded his lead with registered voters against each one.

He went from an 8-percentage point lead against Marshall in March to 12 percent in August; a 9 percent margin against Cunningham in July to 15; and an 11 percent July lead over Lewis to 16 percent in August. The poll also tested Burr against Chapel Hill Mayor Kevin Foy, who is mulling a race, and found Burr led Foy 43 percent to 27 percent.

Congressional Quarterly

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• Still Searching for a Burr Challenger (politicalwire.com)
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• NC-Sen: Dems lose out on top candidate (dailykos.com)
• Democrats Struggle to Find Burr Challenger (politicalwire.com)

North Carolina: McCrory Takes Over Lead

North Carolina Trends: Pat McCrory vs. Bev Perdue
Date	McCrory	Perdue
9/30/2008	50%	46%
8/13/2008	43%	49%
6/10/2008	46%	47%
5/08/2008	45%	39%
3/20/2008	42%	45%
1/29/2008	38%	42%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

North Carolina: McCain Finally Opens Big Lead

	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Other / Not sure	Date
(16) Research 2000	55%	38%	7%	Sept. 8-10
(15) Tel Opinion / Civitas	47%	44%	9%	Sept. 6-10
(14) Public Policy Polling	48%	44%	8%	Sept. 9
(13) SurveyUSA	58%	38%	4%	Sept. 6-8
(12) Public Policy Polling	45%	42%	13%	Aug. 20-23
(11) Insider Advantage	45%	43%	12%	Aug. 19
(10) Tel Opinion / Civitas	46%	40%	14%	Aug. 14-17
(9) Rasmussen Reports	50%	44%	6%	Aug. 13
(8) SurveyUSA	49%	45%	6%	Aug. 9-11
(7) Research 2000	47%	43%	10%	Jul. 28-30
(6) Tel Opinion / Civitas	43%	40%	17%	Jul. 14-16
(5) Rasmussen Reports	45%	42%	13%	Jul. 15
(4) SurveyUSA	50%	45%	5%	Jul. 12-14
(3) Public Policy Polling	45%	41%	14%	Jun. 25-29
(2) Tel Opinion / Civitas	45%	41%	14%	Jun. 11-13
(1) Rasmussen Reports	45%	43%	12%	Jun. 10

(16) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 8 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(15) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute - Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 6 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(14) Public Policy Polling - Telephone interviews with 626 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(13) Survey USA - Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in North Carolina conducted from Sept. 6 to Sept. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(12) Public Policy Polling - Telephone interviews with 907 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 20 to 23, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(11) Insider Advantage - Telephone interviews with 614 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(10) Tel Opinion / Civitas - Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Aug. 14 to Aug. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(9) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(8) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 655 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Aug. 9 to Aug. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 28 to Jul. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(6) Tel Opinion / Civitas - Telephone interviews with 800 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 14 to Jul. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Jul. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(4) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 676 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 12 to Jul. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(3) Public Policy Polling - Telephone interviews with 1,048 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jun. 26 to Jun. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(2) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute - Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jun. 11 to Jun. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Jun. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

North Carolina: McCain Extends Lead to 6

In North Carolina, voters are leaning more in John McCain’s direction than they have at any point since March.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds McCain ahead 46% to 42% in the Tar Heel State. That’s little changed from last month. But, when “leaners” are included, McCain has opened a six-point lead, 50% to 44%. That’s twice the three-point advantage from a month ago and McCain’s biggest edge since shortly after the Jeremiah Wright story became news in mid-March.

Rasmussen Reports

North Carolina: Dole Leads by 12

North Carolina Trends: Dole vs. Hagan
Date	Dole	Hagan
7/17/2008	53%	41%
6/10/2008	53%	39%
5/08/2008	47%	48%
4/10/2008	52%	39%

N.C. House passes bill that could delay Monkey Junction annexation

I just thought this was a funny headline. It's from some North Carolina web site.

North Carolina: McCain Leads in 2 Polls

Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)

	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Other / Not sure	Date
(2) Tel Opinion / Civitas	45%	41%	14%	Jun. 11-13
(1) Rasmussen Reports	45%	43%	12%	Jun. 10

(2) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute - Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jun. 11 to Jun. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Jun. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

McCain Leads Obama by 8 in Virginia & North Carolina

Elizabeth Dole Leads Senate Race

Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Kay Hagan (D)
Elizabeth Dole (R)	52%
Kay Hagan (D)	39%
Some Other Candidate	3%
Not Sure	6%

Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Jim Neal (D)
Elizabeth Dole (R)	51%
Jim Neal (D)	37%
Some Other Candidate	3%
Not Sure	8%

North Carolina: Giuliania Leads Hillary Who Leads Romney

Rudy Giuliani (R) 40%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Mitt Romney (R) 40%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

North Carolina: Helping Illegal Aliens Will Hurt Democrats

Above: The Democrat's answer to those who think unlimitted illegal immigration might not be such a great idea.

North Carolina: Giuliani Leads Thompson by 11

If Fred Thompson can't win a neighboring southern state, he's in trouble.

Thompson Leads North Carolina by 10 pts.

There will be a number of people running for president in 2008 as Republicans. Some of the most talked about are Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson. If the Republican primary were today which of these men would you vote for, or would you vote for somebody else?

	Aug. 2007	Jun. 2007	May 2007
Fred Thompson	30%	37%	25%
Rudy Giuliani	20%	25%	32%
Mitt Romney	12%	14%	13%
John McCain	7%	14%	16%

North Carolina: Edwards Loses Lead in Home State

Aug. 2007	Jun. 2007	May 2007
John Edwards	29%	30%	33%
Hillary Rodham Clinton	29%	26%	27%
Barack Obama	23%	22%	20%

Source: Public Policy Polling
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 609 likely Republican primary voters, and 659 likely Democratic primary voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 1 and Aug. 2, 2007. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.