North Dakota: Berg Leads Pomeroy by 4

North Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 20, 2010

Election 2010: North Dakota House of Reps
Rick Berg (R)	49%
Earl Pomeroy (D)	45%
Some Other Candidate	2%
Not Sure	4%

Rasmussen Reports

South Dakota: Daugaard Leads Heidepriem by 20 pts

South Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 21, 2010

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Dennis Daugaard (R)	53%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	33%
Some Other Candidate	5%
Not Sure	9%

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Dave Knudson (R)	41%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	41%
Some Other Candidate	9%
Not Sure	10%

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Gordon Howie (R)	31%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	46%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	14%

Rasmussen Reports

Arizona Governor: Goddard Losing to ALL Republican Candidates

Arizona Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 14, 2010

Election 2010: Arizona Governor
Jan Brewer (R)	44%
Terry Goddard (D)	40%
Some Other Candidate	9%
Not Sure	6%

Election 2010: Arizona Governor
Dean Martin (R)	47%
Terry Goddard (D)	34%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	11%

Election 2010: Arizona Governor
John Munger (R)	44%
Terry Goddard (D)	37%
Some Other Candidate	10%
Not Sure	9%

Election 2010: Arizona Governor
Buz Mills (R)	46%
Terry Goddard (D)	37%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	9%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

• L.A. Cardinal Likens Arizona to Nazi Germany (trueslant.com)

Taking a Shot at NHL Re-Alignment

Here's my plan:

Prince of Wales Conference

Adams Division
Boston Bruins
Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators
Quebec (Thrashers)

Patrick Division
New Jersey Devils
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins

Don't Know What to Name This Division
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
St. Louis Blues
Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington Capitals

Campbell Conference

Norris Division
Chicago Blackhawks
Detroit Red Wings
Minnesota Wild
Mississauga Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs

Gretzky Division
Edmonton Oilers
Calgary Flames
Hamilton Predators
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Coyotes

Smythe Division
Anaheim Ducks
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
Los Angeles Kings
San Jose Sharks

Once the teams settle down and become stable, then we can start talking about expansion again!

• Seattle
• Portland
• Saskatoon
• Sacramento
• Laval
• Halifax
• Salt Lake City
• Milwaukee
• Omaha
• Virginia Beach/Norfolk

Brown Gets Small Bump from California Democrat Convention

Image via Wikipedia

California Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 19, 2010

Election 2010: California Governor
Meg Whitman (R)	38%
Jerry Brown (D)	44%
Some Other Candidate	9%
Not Sure	9%

Election 2010: California Governor
Steve Poizner (R)	32%
Jerry Brown (D)	50%
Some Other Candidate	10%
Not Sure	8%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

• Poizner Says He's Happy to Get Into 3-Way Debate With Whitman, Brown (laist.com)
• Whitman Out Front in California (politicalwire.com)
• Poll: Whitman, Brown Tied in Matchup for Calif Gov (abcnews.go.com)
• Poll: Whitman, Brown tied in matchup for Calif gov (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• Calif. Democrats: 'Game time' for election year (seattletimes.nwsource.com)

UK: Clegg Compares Nazis Favorably to Britain

"Danke, Herr Clegg!" Image via Wikipedia

Nick Clegg has claimed that the British people have ‘a more insidious cross to bear’ than Germany over the Second World War.
In an astonishing attack on our national pride, the Liberal Democrat leader said we suffered from ‘delusions of grandeur’ and a ‘misplaced sense of superiority’ over having defeated the horrors of Nazism.
He said we found it hard to accept that Germany had become a ‘vastly more prosperous nation’ and that ‘we need to be put back in our place’.

Read more Daily Mail: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1267921/GENERAL-ELECTION-2010-Nick-Clegg-Nazi-slur-Britain.html#ixzz0lmTCmD1M

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ANOTHER New Jersey Politician Switches to Republican Party

Carneys Point is in Salem County (Red) in southwestern New Jersey. Image via Wikipedia

[Carneys Point] Committeeman Dr. Joseph Racite has decided to change his political party affiliation back to Republican after a short stint as a Democrat.

The decision came early last week as Racite went down to the Salem County Board of Elections to complete the process and switch his political party.

“Its more for philosophical reasons than anything else,” said Racite. “I just think my ideals are more in line with the Republican Party.”

Related articles

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New Jersey: Yet ANOTHER Burlington County Democrat Switches to GOP

Township Councilman Rick Prickett became the latest local elected official to switch political parties.
Prickett, who served as a Democratic council member for more than seven years, announced Friday that he intends to run for the council in November as a member of the Republican Party.
"I've been a Democrat for more than 40 years," Prickett said. "I chose to become a Pemberton Republican because I believe those individuals share values similar to those living in our township."

Philly Burbs

Pennsylvania: Lancaster Democrat Switches Parties

One of only six Democrats holding office in Lancaster or a county-wide office in Fairfield County has decided to switch parties.Lancaster City Treasurer Robert Wolfinger Jr. has decided to switch to the Republican Party.

Lancaster Eagle-Gazette

Pennsylvania: Toomey Raises Twice as Much Money as Specter

Sen. Arlen Specter, D-Pa., raised $1.16 million in the first quarter of 2010 and has $9 million in cash on hand.

However, that was less than half of the $2.3 million his Republican challenger Pat Toomey raked in during the same time period.

Liveshots

Related articles 

• Toomey Widens Lead in Pennsylvania (politicalwire.com)
• Specter Trails Rival in Pennsylvania Senate Race Fundraising (businessweek.com)
• Election 2010: Pennsylvania Senate - Rasmussen Reports™ (gloucestercitynews.net)
• Thursday's campaign round-up (washingtonmonthly.com)
• PA-Sen: Sestak Campaign Jumps on Specter-Santorum Deal (news.firedoglake.com)
• Toomey Holds Edge in Pennsylvania (politicalwire.com)
• Sorting Out Senate Fund-Raising (blogs.wsj.com)
• Poll: Toomey pulling ahead of Pa. Sen. Specter (seattletimes.nwsource.com)

Arizona: Hayworth Only 5 pts Behind McCain

Arizona Survey of 510 Likely Voters
April 13, 2010

Election 2010: Arizona Republican Primary for Senate
John McCain	47%
J.D. Hayworth	42%
Some other candidate	2%
Not sure	8%

Rasmussen Reports

Arizona: McCain or Hayworth Would Win General Election

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in AZ
April 13, 2010

Election 2010: Arizona Senate
John McCain (R)	54%
Rodney Glassman (D)	32%
Some other candidate	8%
Not sure	6%

Election 2010: Arizona Senate
J.D. Hayworth (R)	48%
Rodney Glassman (D)	39%
Some other candidate	7%
Not sure	7%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles 

• Oh my: McCain 47, Hayworth 42 (hotair.com)
• It's funny what a primary can do (washingtonmonthly.com)
• McCain Says He's No Maverick (politicalwire.com)

Chris Christie Allows New Jerseyans to Hold Their Heads High

Image via Wikipedia

MTV's hit show "Jersey Shore," featuring Mike Sorrentino, the guido extraordinaire nicknamed for his impressive abs (they're a "Situation," apparently).

Recently, though, I've been holding my head high, thanks to Jersey's new governor, Republican Chris Christie, a man who hasn't seen his abs since the "Born to Run" tour -- if ever. In the 2009 race, our last governor, Jon Corzine, ridiculed Christie's weight, then left him with the gruesome political challenge of closing an $11 billion deficit, the largest gap per taxpayer in the United States.

Washington Examiner

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Nevada: Brian Sandoval 55, Rory Reid 34

Nevada Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 31, 2010

Election 2010: Nevada Governor
Jim Gibbons (R)	45%
Rory Reid (D)	43%
Some other candidate	8%
Not Sure	4%

Election 2010: Nevada Governor
Brian Sandoval (R)	55%
Rory Reid (D)	34%
Some other candidate	6%
Not Sure	4%

Election 2010: Nevada Governor
Mike Montandon (R)	45%
Rory Reid (D)	38%
Some other candidate	9%
Not Sure	8%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

• Sandoval Just Ahead of Gibbons in Nevada (politicalwire.com)
• Rory Reid takes on name in NV governor's race (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• Nevada election slate filled by state's dynasties (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• Sandoval Would Win Three-Way Nevada Race (politicalwire.com)
• Harry Reid Drags His Son Down (dakotavoice.com)
• Governor orders Nevada to join health reform suit (seattletimes.nwsource.com)

Connecticut: Tom Foley Leads Governor Race

Connecticut Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 1, 2010

Election 2010: Connecticut Governor
Michael Fedele (R)	38%
Ned Lamont (D)	41%
Some Other Candidate	9%
Not Sure	12%

Election 2010: Connecticut Governor
Michael Fedele (R)	37%
Dan Malloy (D)	40%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	16%

Election 2010: Connecticut Governor
Thomas Foley (R)	44%
Dan Malloy (D)	35%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	14%

Election 2010: Connecticut Governor
Thomas Foley (R)	44%
Ned Lamont (D)	37%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	13%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

• Many Undecided in Race for Connecticut Governor (politicalwire.com)

Wyoming: Republicans Likely to Pick Up Governorship

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 25, 2010

Election 2010: Wyoming Governor
Matt Mead (R)	43%
Mike Massie (D)	25%
Some other candidate	8%
Not sure	24%

Election 2010: Wyoming Governor
Ron Micheli (R)	45%
Mike Massie (D)	23%
Some other candidate	8%
Not sure	25%

Election 2010: Wyoming Governor
Rita Meyer (R)	43%
Mike Massie (D)	26%
Some other candidate	7%
Not sure	25%

Election 2010: Wyoming Governor
Colin Simpson (R)	41%
Mike Massie (D)	26%
Some other candidate	8%
Not sure	25%

Rasmussen Reports

Why Pennsylvania Offers a lot of Opportunities for Republicans in 2010

"Pennsylvania has a history of swinging back and forth from Republican to Democrat, Democrat to Republican in statewide races," said Robb Austin, a Pennsylvania political consultant and former state representative.
This has been true in the Senate -- Democrat Harris Wofford won a special election to replace John Heinz in 1991, and was then defeated by conservative Republican Rick Santorum, who was knocked out four years ago by Democrat Robert Casey Jr. -- as well as in gubernatorial elections...

Real Clear Politics

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• WIRE WATCH: Santorum in Iowa; Sarkozy, Bruni Visit Obamas (blogs.wsj.com)
• Rick Santorum: Dipping His Toe in 2012 Presidential Pool (blogs.wsj.com)
• WIRE WATCH: Latest Jobs Report; Santorum in S.C.; Clinton Meets With Egyptians; GOP Women’s Take on 2010; Vilsack to Afghanistan (blogs.wsj.com)
• Santorum: Democrats Worried Obama Will 'Go To Indonesia And Bow To More Muslims' (VIDEO) (huffingtonpost.com)

Idaho: Otter Leads Allred by 32 pts

Image via Wikipedia

Idaho Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 23, 2010

Election 2010: Idaho Governor
C.L. "Butch" Otter (R)	60%
Keith Allred (D)	28%
Some other candidate	3%
Not sure	9%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles 

• ID: The session now past (ridenbaugh.com)
• ID: And they're off (ridenbaugh.com)
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Russians Don't Want Close Relations With US

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

Thinking about foreign policy, what should Russia do in the next few years with regards to the United States?

	Feb. 2010	Mar. 2003
Build closer ties	14%	24%
Keep things as they are	40%	29%
Seek a greater distance	36%	38%
Hard to answer	11%	10%

Source: Yury Levada Analytical Center
Methodology: Interviews to 1,600 Russian adults, conducted from Feb. 26 to Mar. 2, 2010. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.

Related articles 

• Norway acknowledges Arctic challenge from Russia (nationalpost.com)
• Icy words from Clinton at Arctic summit (thestar.com)
• Russia and Nato: A frozen conflict (guardian.co.uk)
• Russia, U.S. will cut nuclear arms by 30%: Obama (calgaryherald.com)
• Editorial: The Moscow Bombings (nytimes.com)

Submissive Canadians Happy With Economic Conditions

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

How would you rate the economic conditions in Canada today?

	Mar. 2010	Feb. 2010	Jan. 2010	Oct. 2009
Very Good / Good	54%	52%	48%	49%
Poor / Very Poor	41%	45%	45%	47%
Not sure	5%	3%	7%	4%

Source: Angus Reid Public Opinion
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,004 Canadian adults, conducted on Mar. 25 and Mar. 26, 2010. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

Related articles 

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• Older Canadians are wiser at tax time (newswire.ca)
• People in Canada Choose Bacon Over Sex (bacontoday.com)
• Canadian retirees like their lot, survey says (thestar.com)
• Support for Olympics on the decline in B.C.: Poll (canada.com)

South Dakota: Daugaard Most Likely to be Next Governor

South Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 25, 2010

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Dave Knudson (R)	32%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	37%
Some Other Candidate	13%
Not Sure	19%

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Dennis Daugaard (R)	49%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	32%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	13%

Election 2010: South Dakota Governor
Gordon Howie (R)	34%
Scott Heidepriem (D)	39%
Some Other Candidate	9%
Not Sure	17%

Related articles

• Anything's possible in Gov's race: kind of a continuation (dakotavoice.com)
• Sen. Howie Seeks to South Dakota Reintroduce Health Care Freedom Act (dakotavoice.com)
• South Dakota Governor, AG Looking at Action Against Govt Health Care Bill (dakotavoice.com)
• Attempt to Resubmit Health Care Freedom Act Fails (dakotavoice.com)
• SD lawmakers split on giving state workers a raise (sfgate.com)

New Jersey: Christie's Approval Rating at 43-32

Gov. Christopher Christie has a 43%-32% job approval rating, and New Jersey voters narrowly back his proposed budget, 40%-30%, according to a Fairleigh Dickinson University Public Mind poll released this morning.  

Politicker NJ

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Bizarre: 2nd Democrat Politician Named Brown Switches Parties in Burlington County, NJ—In Space of 2 Weeks!

Already wounded and reeling hard from the dagger blow of another guy named Brown from Evesham, Democrats in Burlington felt the blade go in even deeper today as Freeholder Chris Brown joined Mayor Randy Brown in changing his party affiliation from Democrat to Republican.

A disaffected Brown said he ran for public office on a platform of fiscal conservatism and social responsibility, committed to using his private sector experience to streamline government and make it more accountable. 

Politicker NJ

Pennsylvania: Party Switch Could Cost Specter Job

Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter made huge headlines when he switched parties for the second time last spring. The former Republican-turned-Democrat is campaigning for re-election this fall, but he's facing fierce competition from both sides.

CNN

South Dakota: Nelson Within 2 pts of Liberal Herseth-Sandlin

South Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 25, 2010

Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives
Chris Nelson (R)	42%
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D)	44%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	9%

Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives
Kristi Noem (R)	35%
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D)	46%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	10%

Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives
Blake Curd (R)	33%
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D)	45%
Some Other Candidate	8%
Not Sure	14%

Related articles

• Poll: Republican Nelson and Dem Herseth Sandlin in Virtual Tie (dakotavoice.com)
• Open Letter to South Dakota's Senator Johnson, Rep. Sandlin (dakotavoice.com)
• 2010 Looks Shaky for Rep. Herseth Sandlin (dakotavoice.com)

Rasmussen Reports

Iowa: Leonard Boswell in Reelection Trouble

Until this year, Boswell has not faced re-election in an environment as potentially hazardous to his party. Boswell's district is the least friendly to federal officeholders, according to the February Iowa Poll.

Fifty-two percent of adults in the 3rd District said they were inclined to replace their federal representatives, the highest rate among Iowa's five congressional districts. The rate jumped even higher among the district's likely voters, to 58 percent.

Des Moines Register

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Rhode Island: Chafee Leads in Independant Bid for Governor

Rhode Island Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 25, 2010

Election 2010: Rhode Island Governor
John Robitaille (R)	26%
Patrick Lynch (D)	22%
Lincoln Chafee (I)	37%
Not Sure	15%

Election 2010: Rhode Island Governor
John Robitaille (R)	22%
Frank Caprio (D)	28%
Lincoln Chafee (I)	39%
Not Sure	11%

Rasmussen Reports

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• An Independent Minded Lincoln Chafee (mydd.com)

Washington Post Compares Tea Party Americans to KKK

Affirmative action hire/journalist Colbert I. King has this to say:

The angry faces at Tea Party rallies are eerily familiar. They resemble faces of protesters lining the street at the University of Alabama in 1956 as Autherine Lucy, the school's first black student, bravely tried to walk to class...

Washington Post

New Mexico: Denish Leads Governors Race

New Mexico Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 24, 2010

Election 2010: New Mexico Governor
Susana Martinez (R)	32%
Diane Denish (D)	51%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	10%

Election 2010: New Mexico Governor
Pete Domenici, Jr. (R)	35%
Diane Denish (D)	52%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	6%

Election 2010: New Mexico Governor
Allen Weh (R)	35%
Diane Denish (D)	45%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	13%

Election 2010: New Mexico Governor
Janice Arnold-Jones (R)	30%
Diane Denish (D)	52%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not Sure	12%

Election 2010: New Mexico Governor
Doug Turner (R)	34%
Diane Denish (D)	43%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not Sure	16%

Rasmussen Reports

North Dakota: Hoeven Crushing Potter

Image via Wikipedia

North Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 23, 2010
 

Election 2010: North Dakota Senate
John Hoeven (R)	68%
Tracy Potter (D)	25%
Some Other Candidate	2%
Not Sure	5%

Rasmussen Reports

Related articles

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• Hoeven Looks Likely to Take Senate Seat (politicalwire.com)
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• Oil Companies to Tap Missouri River Water (abcnews.go.com)
• North Dakota, tribe to renew oil tax accord (seattletimes.nwsource.com)

Brazil: 3/4 Like Lula

Image via Wikipedia

How would you rate the performance of Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva as president?

	Mar. 2010	Feb. 2010	Nov. 2009
Good / Very Good	75%	76%	72%
Fair	19%	19%	21%
Bad / Very Bad	5%	5%	6%

Source: Ibope
Methodology: Interviews with 2,002 Brazilian adults, conducted from Mar. 6 to Mar. 10, 2010. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent. 

 

Related article

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Czech Republic: Socialists Lead Civic Democratic Party

Image via Wikipedia

What party list would you vote for in the next parliamentary election?

	Mar. 2010	Feb. 2010	Jan. 2010
Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD)	27.9%	28.6%	28.7%
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)	20.0%	23.2%	20.9%
Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSCM)	11.3%	11.7%	10.9%
Tradition Responsibility Prosperity 09 (TOP 09)	7.7%	9.1%	8.4%
Public Affairs (VV)	6.2%	4.7%	3.9%
Christian and Democratic Union - Czech People’s Party (KDU-CSL)	4.8%	4.3%	4.2%
Green Party (SZ)	3.8%	2.7%	4.0%
Czech Party of Citizens’ Rights (SPO)	3.6%	n.a.	n.a.

Source: STEM
Methodology: Interviews with 1,243 Czech voters, conducted from Feb. 1 to Feb. 8, 2010. No margin of error was provided.

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• Master, 'Worship the Sun' -- New Song (noisecreep.com)

California: Whitman Leads Brown, Campbell Leads Boxer

General Election Matchup: Governor (1,102 LVs, 3/9-16, MoE +/- 3%)
Whitman 44 (+8 vs. last poll, 1/12-19)
Brown 41 (-2)
Und 17 (-6)

Brown 46 (+2)
Poizner 31 (+2)
Und 23 (-4)

General Election Matchups: Senate
Campbell 44 (+3)
The Box 43 (-2)
Und 13 (-1)

The Box 44 (-4)
Fiorina 43 (+3)
Und 13 (+1)

The Box 46 (-1)
DeVore 40 (+1)
Und 14 (unch)

Source: Time (liberal pamphlet) via Real Clear Politics

Intrade Gives GOP 12% Chance of Picking Up 10 Senate Seats

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball is currently projecting a seven-seat pick up for the Republicans. The Rothenberg Political Report gives the Republicans between five and seven pick ups, with eight “certainly possible.” Congressional Quarterly predicts the Republicans will take at least four seats away from the Democrats, and judges four others as toss ups. On the other hand, four Republican seats are also rated as toss ups by CQ.

The latest betting on Intrade markets looks for the Republicans to pick up four Democratic seats. The Intrade markets give the Republicans about a 12% chance of controlling the Senate.

Finally, RealClearPolitics figures the Republicans will take seven seats, based on current polling data. 

Marketwatch

Florida: McCollum With Comfortable Lead Over Sink

Florida Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
March 18, 2010

Election 2010: Florida Governor
Bill McCollum (R)	47%
Alex Sink (D)	36%
Some other candidate	5%
Not sure	12%

Rasmussen Reports

North Carolina: Burr Continues to Enjoy Large Lead

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina
March 22, 2010
 

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate
Richard Burr (R)	51%
Elaine Marshall (D)	35%
Some Other Candidate	6%
Not sure	8%

Election 2010: North Carolina Senate
Richard Burr (R)	51%
Cal Cunningham (D)	32%
Some Other Candidate	7%
Not sure	11%

Rasmussen Reports

North Dakota: Pomeroy in Trouble

North Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 23-24, 2010

Election 2010: North Dakota House of Reps
Rick Berg (R). 51%
Earl Pomeroy (D). 44%
Some Other Candidate 1%
Not Sure. 4%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

GOP Renaissance in the Northeast

After all the gleeful boasts by the media about the death of the Republicans in the Northeast, we now see things are about to change. Real Clear Politics 2010 Governor, House and Senate maps reveals the following Democrats who are in trouble:

Connecticut:
District 4 and 5 is in trouble.
 
Delaware:  
Mike Castle likely to pick up Senate seat.


Maryland:
District 1 likely GOP pick up.

Massachusetts: 
District 10 is a toss-up.
And we already know about Scott Brown.


New Hampshire:
Both House seats are leaning toward the GOP.
GOP likely to keep Senate seat.

New Jersey:
District 3's Adler in trouble.
Chris Christie now Governor.
Also, the GOP did unusually well in last November's election at the local level for two years in a row.

New York: 
District 29 a likely GOP pick up.
Districts 1, 13, 19, 23, 24 are toss-ups.
District 20, 25 in trouble.
Senator Gillibrand in trouble.

Pennsylvania: 
District 7 and 12 are leaning toward the GOP.
Districts 8, 11, 17 are toss-ups.
Districts 3, 4 and 10 only lean toward the Democrats.
GOP likely to pick up the governorship.
Last November's statewide judicial elections.

Illinois: Democrat Halvorson Trails GOP Challenger

Adam Kinzinger currently leads on the ballot test 44%-38% over Congresswoman Halvorson, with 16% of voters undecided. Among high interest voters (8-10s), Kinzinger’s lead improves to 49%-35%, with 13% undecided.

National Review/Campaign Spot

Real Conservatism on the Rise in Canada Too

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Earlier this month, the Crowne Plaza hotel in downtown Ottawa played host to two consecutive conferences, a small one by the Institute of Marriage and Family Canada followed by a big one by the Manning Centre for Building Democracy. Both were well attended by current and former ministers, employees and strategists of the Harper government. Both drew energetic crowds of activists and ordinary people. Both gave free rein to an unabashed social conservatism that is rarely mentioned, and even less frequently championed, by even prominent fiscal conservatives in the big papers and magazines. And the mood at both gatherings was overwhelmingly optimistic, because the kind of conservatism that appeals to these organizations is demonstrably on the march in Ottawa and across Canada.

MacLean's